**Multiple open gubernatorial seats and toss-up ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have positioned Alaska, Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Georgia, and Iowa as leading contenders in the Polymarket market on the narrowest 2026 margin.** These states feature competitive general-election matchups following primaries, with Alaska’s ranked-choice or multi-candidate dynamics, Ohio’s open seat between Vivek Ramaswamy and Amy Acton, Georgia’s open contest, and Nevada’s incumbent race all rated highly competitive. Trader consensus reflects polling volatility, candidate quality, and historical closeness in these battlegrounds rather than any single frontrunner. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout differences, or national headwinds could consolidate volume behind one outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alaska 13.0%
オハイオ州 12.6%
フロリダ 12.5%
Nevada 11%
$19,682 Vol.
$19,682 Vol.
2026/11/03
Alaska
13%
オハイオ州
13%
フロリダ
13%
Nevada
11%
Georgia
10%
Iowa
6%
Kansas
5%
Texas
5%
Oregon
5%
Wisconsin
4%
ミシガン州
4%
Vermont
3%
コロラド州
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Arizona
2%
Minnesota
2%
New Mexico
1%
Maine
<1%
Alaska 13.0%
オハイオ州 12.6%
フロリダ 12.5%
Nevada 11%
$19,682 Vol.
$19,682 Vol.
2026/11/03
Alaska
$284 Vol.
13%
オハイオ州
$886 Vol.
13%
フロリダ
$996 Vol.
13%
Nevada
$3,902 Vol.
11%
Georgia
$1,055 Vol.
10%
Iowa
$1,875 Vol.
6%
Kansas
$3,304 Vol.
5%
Texas
$2,660 Vol.
5%
Oregon
$346 Vol.
5%
Wisconsin
$1,572 Vol.
4%
ミシガン州
$379 Vol.
4%
Vermont
$201 Vol.
3%
コロラド州
$283 Vol.
3%
New Hampshire
$549 Vol.
3%
Arizona
$307 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$364 Vol.
2%
New Mexico
$343 Vol.
1%
Maine
$375 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Multiple open gubernatorial seats and toss-up ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have positioned Alaska, Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Georgia, and Iowa as leading contenders in the Polymarket market on the narrowest 2026 margin.**
These states feature competitive general-election matchups following primaries, with Alaska’s ranked-choice or multi-candidate dynamics, Ohio’s open seat between Vivek Ramaswamy and Amy Acton, Georgia’s open contest, and Nevada’s incumbent race all rated highly competitive. Trader consensus reflects polling volatility, candidate quality, and historical closeness in these battlegrounds rather than any single frontrunner. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout differences, or national headwinds could consolidate volume behind one outcome before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$19,682終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Multiple open gubernatorial seats and toss-up ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have positioned Alaska, Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Georgia, and Iowa as leading contenders in the Polymarket market on the narrowest 2026 margin.**
These states feature competitive general-election matchups following primaries, with Alaska’s ranked-choice or multi-candidate dynamics, Ohio’s open seat between Vivek Ramaswamy and Amy Acton, Georgia’s open contest, and Nevada’s incumbent race all rated highly competitive. Trader consensus reflects polling volatility, candidate quality, and historical closeness in these battlegrounds rather than any single frontrunner. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout differences, or national headwinds could consolidate volume behind one outcome before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$19,682終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Multiple open gubernatorial seats and toss-up ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have positioned Alaska, Florida, Ohio, Nevada, Georgia, and Iowa as leading contenders in the Polymarket market on the narrowest 2026 margin.** These states feature competitive general-election matchups following primaries, with Alaska’s ranked-choice or multi-candidate dynamics, Ohio’s open seat between Vivek Ramaswamy and Amy Acton, Georgia’s open contest, and Nevada’s incumbent race all rated highly competitive. Trader consensus reflects polling volatility, candidate quality, and historical closeness in these battlegrounds rather than any single frontrunner. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout differences, or national headwinds could consolidate volume behind one outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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