Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the CA-32 race stems from the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory under California’s top-two system. After advancing past multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2026 primary, Sherman faces Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s voter base across the San Fernando Valley, Malibu, and parts of Ventura County. Thompson’s limited fundraising and the absence of major recent developments further reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,140 Vol.
$26,140 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・シャーマン（民主党）
95%
ラリー・トンプソン（共和党）
1%
$26,140 Vol.
$26,140 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・シャーマン（民主党）
$12,387 Vol.
95%
ラリー・トンプソン（共和党）
$13,753 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the CA-32 race stems from the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory under California’s top-two system. After advancing past multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2026 primary, Sherman faces Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s voter base across the San Fernando Valley, Malibu, and parts of Ventura County. Thompson’s limited fundraising and the absence of major recent developments further reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$26,140終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the CA-32 race stems from the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory under California’s top-two system. After advancing past multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2026 primary, Sherman faces Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s voter base across the San Fernando Valley, Malibu, and parts of Ventura County. Thompson’s limited fundraising and the absence of major recent developments further reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,140終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Sherman’s commanding position in the CA-32 race stems from the district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, combined with his long incumbency and primary victory under California’s top-two system. After advancing past multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2026 primary, Sherman faces Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s voter base across the San Fernando Valley, Malibu, and parts of Ventura County. Thompson’s limited fundraising and the absence of major recent developments further reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health development, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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