**Argentina’s official exchange rate, currently near ARS 1,512 per USD in mid-September 2026, trades well below the inflation-indexed band ceiling of roughly ARS 1,889.** Trader positioning heavily favoring a close above 1,600 reflects consensus forecasts from banks and consultancies clustering around 1,600–1,670 by year-end, consistent with the crawling-band regime that adjusts monthly by lagged CPI. Strong Central Bank reserve accumulation—exceeding USD 14 billion year-to-date—supported by export inflows from elevated oil and crop prices, fiscal surpluses, and external financing has contained volatility and enabled gradual depreciation aligned with the 25–30% inflation path. Recent stabilization around the 1,500–1,512 zone after earlier defense of that level, alongside continued disinflation and re-monetization, underpins the market-implied odds while leaving room for upside surprises from commodity strength or policy signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1600.00以上 78%
1,500.00–1,549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1450.00～1499.99 4.5%
$11,008 Vol.
$11,008 Vol.
2026/12/30
1250.00未満
3%
1250.00～1299.99
2%
1300.00〜1349.99
3%
1350.00〜1399.99
3%
1400.00〜1449.99
4%
1450.00～1499.99
5%
1,500.00–1,549.99
10%
1550.00–1599.99
14%
1600.00以上
76%
1600.00以上 78%
1,500.00–1,549.99 16.6%
1550.00–1599.99 16.5%
1450.00～1499.99 4.5%
$11,008 Vol.
$11,008 Vol.
2026/12/30
1250.00未満
$608 Vol.
3%
1250.00～1299.99
$1,024 Vol.
2%
1300.00〜1349.99
$893 Vol.
3%
1350.00〜1399.99
$978 Vol.
3%
1400.00〜1449.99
$1,316 Vol.
4%
1450.00～1499.99
$1,546 Vol.
5%
1,500.00–1,549.99
$1,417 Vol.
10%
1550.00–1599.99
$825 Vol.
14%
1600.00以上
$2,401 Vol.
76%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Argentina’s official exchange rate, currently near ARS 1,512 per USD in mid-September 2026, trades well below the inflation-indexed band ceiling of roughly ARS 1,889.** Trader positioning heavily favoring a close above 1,600 reflects consensus forecasts from banks and consultancies clustering around 1,600–1,670 by year-end, consistent with the crawling-band regime that adjusts monthly by lagged CPI. Strong Central Bank reserve accumulation—exceeding USD 14 billion year-to-date—supported by export inflows from elevated oil and crop prices, fiscal surpluses, and external financing has contained volatility and enabled gradual depreciation aligned with the 25–30% inflation path. Recent stabilization around the 1,500–1,512 zone after earlier defense of that level, alongside continued disinflation and re-monetization, underpins the market-implied odds while leaving room for upside surprises from commodity strength or policy signals.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
音量
$11,008終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Argentina’s official exchange rate, currently near ARS 1,512 per USD in mid-September 2026, trades well below the inflation-indexed band ceiling of roughly ARS 1,889.** Trader positioning heavily favoring a close above 1,600 reflects consensus forecasts from banks and consultancies clustering around 1,600–1,670 by year-end, consistent with the crawling-band regime that adjusts monthly by lagged CPI. Strong Central Bank reserve accumulation—exceeding USD 14 billion year-to-date—supported by export inflows from elevated oil and crop prices, fiscal surpluses, and external financing has contained volatility and enabled gradual depreciation aligned with the 25–30% inflation path. Recent stabilization around the 1,500–1,512 zone after earlier defense of that level, alongside continued disinflation and re-monetization, underpins the market-implied odds while leaving room for upside surprises from commodity strength or policy signals.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$11,008終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Argentina’s official exchange rate, currently near ARS 1,512 per USD in mid-September 2026, trades well below the inflation-indexed band ceiling of roughly ARS 1,889.** Trader positioning heavily favoring a close above 1,600 reflects consensus forecasts from banks and consultancies clustering around 1,600–1,670 by year-end, consistent with the crawling-band regime that adjusts monthly by lagged CPI. Strong Central Bank reserve accumulation—exceeding USD 14 billion year-to-date—supported by export inflows from elevated oil and crop prices, fiscal surpluses, and external financing has contained volatility and enabled gradual depreciation aligned with the 25–30% inflation path. Recent stabilization around the 1,500–1,512 zone after earlier defense of that level, alongside continued disinflation and re-monetization, underpins the market-implied odds while leaving room for upside surprises from commodity strength or policy signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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