Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Best Pop 2026 market at a 66% implied probability, reflecting strong trader consensus around her sustained chart dominance, massive fan engagement, and historical success in the category. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sits at 17% as a credible challenger, while Olivia Rodrigo, Lisa, Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail in the single digits amid competitive release cycles. The broad field of additional options priced near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty typical of early awards positioning, where critical reception, streaming metrics, and video performance can still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVMA Best Pop 2026
VMA Best Pop 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 66%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 18%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo) 10%
Dream (Lisa con Kentaro Sakaguchi) 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 set 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
66%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
18%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo)
10%
Dream (Lisa con Kentaro Sakaguchi)
8%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
6%
House Tour (Sabrina Carpenter)
6%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)
6%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 66%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 18%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo) 10%
Dream (Lisa con Kentaro Sakaguchi) 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 set 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
$20 Vol.
66%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
$0 Vol.
18%
Drop Dead (Olivia Rodrigo)
$0 Vol.
10%
Dream (Lisa con Kentaro Sakaguchi)
$0 Vol.
8%
SS26 (Charli XCX)
$0 Vol.
6%
House Tour (Sabrina Carpenter)
$0 Vol.
6%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)
$0 Vol.
6%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Best Pop 2026 market at a 66% implied probability, reflecting strong trader consensus around her sustained chart dominance, massive fan engagement, and historical success in the category. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sits at 17% as a credible challenger, while Olivia Rodrigo, Lisa, Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail in the single digits amid competitive release cycles. The broad field of additional options priced near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty typical of early awards positioning, where critical reception, streaming metrics, and video performance can still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Volume
$20Data di fine
28 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Best Pop 2026 market at a 66% implied probability, reflecting strong trader consensus around her sustained chart dominance, massive fan engagement, and historical success in the category. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sits at 17% as a credible challenger, while Olivia Rodrigo, Lisa, Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail in the single digits amid competitive release cycles. The broad field of additional options priced near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty typical of early awards positioning, where critical reception, streaming metrics, and video performance can still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20Data di fine
28 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Best Pop 2026 market at a 66% implied probability, reflecting strong trader consensus around her sustained chart dominance, massive fan engagement, and historical success in the category. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sits at 17% as a credible challenger, while Olivia Rodrigo, Lisa, Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail in the single digits amid competitive release cycles. The broad field of additional options priced near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty typical of early awards positioning, where critical reception, streaming metrics, and video performance can still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
"The Fate of Ophelia" di Taylor Swift vincerà il premio Video dell'Anno agli MTV Video Music Awards 2026?
66%
Sì
"Confessions II – The Film" di Madonna vincerà il premio Best Dance ai MTV Video Music Awards 2026?
52%
Sì
"The Cure" di Olivia Rodrigo vincerà il premio come Miglior Alternativa agli MTV Video Music Awards 2026?
56%
Sì
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