Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands 77% implied probability in the CMA Song of the Year market after its record-shattering run, including the longest Hot 100 reign by a solo female country artist and Billboard’s 2026 Song of the Summer crown. The track’s dominance on streaming, airplay, and sales charts, paired with its ACM Song of the Year win earlier in 2026 and co-writing credits including Miranda Lambert, has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Recent CMA nominations, announced September 10, placed it alongside Langley’s own “Be Her,” Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary,” though those trail sharply in market pricing. Historical patterns favor songs with this level of cross-format impact and guild-level validation, though voter ballots remain secret and late momentum shifts remain possible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCMA Canzone dell'anno 2026
CMA Canzone dell'anno 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 77%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 11%
Be Her (Ella Langley) 5%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney) 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 nov 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
77%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
11%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
5%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney)
5%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
4%
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) 77%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) 11%
Be Her (Ella Langley) 5%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney) 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 nov 2026
Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)
$2,554 Vol.
77%
Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)
$925 Vol.
11%
Be Her (Ella Langley)
$60 Vol.
5%
Beautiful Things (Megan Moroney)
$60 Vol.
5%
Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)
$41 Vol.
4%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands 77% implied probability in the CMA Song of the Year market after its record-shattering run, including the longest Hot 100 reign by a solo female country artist and Billboard’s 2026 Song of the Summer crown. The track’s dominance on streaming, airplay, and sales charts, paired with its ACM Song of the Year win earlier in 2026 and co-writing credits including Miranda Lambert, has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Recent CMA nominations, announced September 10, placed it alongside Langley’s own “Be Her,” Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary,” though those trail sharply in market pricing. Historical patterns favor songs with this level of cross-format impact and guild-level validation, though voter ballots remain secret and late momentum shifts remain possible.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$3,641Data di fine
19 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands 77% implied probability in the CMA Song of the Year market after its record-shattering run, including the longest Hot 100 reign by a solo female country artist and Billboard’s 2026 Song of the Summer crown. The track’s dominance on streaming, airplay, and sales charts, paired with its ACM Song of the Year win earlier in 2026 and co-writing credits including Miranda Lambert, has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Recent CMA nominations, announced September 10, placed it alongside Langley’s own “Be Her,” Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary,” though those trail sharply in market pricing. Historical patterns favor songs with this level of cross-format impact and guild-level validation, though voter ballots remain secret and late momentum shifts remain possible.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year.
If a listed song is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,641Data di fine
19 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands 77% implied probability in the CMA Song of the Year market after its record-shattering run, including the longest Hot 100 reign by a solo female country artist and Billboard’s 2026 Song of the Summer crown. The track’s dominance on streaming, airplay, and sales charts, paired with its ACM Song of the Year win earlier in 2026 and co-writing credits including Miranda Lambert, has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status ahead of the November 18 ceremony. Recent CMA nominations, announced September 10, placed it alongside Langley’s own “Be Her,” Megan Moroney’s “Beautiful Things,” Kacey Musgraves’ “Dry Spell,” and Stephen Wilson Jr.’s “Gary,” though those trail sharply in market pricing. Historical patterns favor songs with this level of cross-format impact and guild-level validation, though voter ballots remain secret and late momentum shifts remain possible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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