Taylor Swift holds a narrow edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 54% implied probability, driven by her record 30 prior wins and the chance to claim the all-time lead ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominees including Madonna, Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Morgan Wallen sit clustered near even odds, reflecting a wide-open fan-voted contest where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and opening performance slot signal strong industry momentum from her Confessions II project, yet her lower market price suggests traders see Swift’s dedicated fanbase and historical VMA strength as decisive factors in a tight race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArtista VMA dell'anno 2026
Artista VMA dell'anno 2026
Taylor Swift 52%
Ariana Grande 20%
Madonna 20%
Morgan Wallen 2.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 set 2026
Taylor Swift
52%
Ariana Grande
20%
Madonna
20%
Morgan Wallen
2%
Bruno Mars
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
2%
Taylor Swift 52%
Ariana Grande 20%
Madonna 20%
Morgan Wallen 2.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 set 2026
Taylor Swift
$444 Vol.
52%
Ariana Grande
$41 Vol.
20%
Madonna
$33 Vol.
20%
Morgan Wallen
$22 Vol.
2%
Bruno Mars
$22 Vol.
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
$24 Vol.
2%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift holds a narrow edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 54% implied probability, driven by her record 30 prior wins and the chance to claim the all-time lead ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominees including Madonna, Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Morgan Wallen sit clustered near even odds, reflecting a wide-open fan-voted contest where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and opening performance slot signal strong industry momentum from her Confessions II project, yet her lower market price suggests traders see Swift’s dedicated fanbase and historical VMA strength as decisive factors in a tight race.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$586Data di fine
28 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift holds a narrow edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 54% implied probability, driven by her record 30 prior wins and the chance to claim the all-time lead ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominees including Madonna, Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Morgan Wallen sit clustered near even odds, reflecting a wide-open fan-voted contest where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and opening performance slot signal strong industry momentum from her Confessions II project, yet her lower market price suggests traders see Swift’s dedicated fanbase and historical VMA strength as decisive factors in a tight race.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$586Data di fine
28 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift holds a narrow edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 54% implied probability, driven by her record 30 prior wins and the chance to claim the all-time lead ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominees including Madonna, Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Morgan Wallen sit clustered near even odds, reflecting a wide-open fan-voted contest where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and opening performance slot signal strong industry momentum from her Confessions II project, yet her lower market price suggests traders see Swift’s dedicated fanbase and historical VMA strength as decisive factors in a tight race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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