SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $147–153 amid heavy supply pressure from the third major lock-up tranche releasing up to 319 million Class A shares on September 9, following an earlier August unlock that expanded the public float. The stock closed September 9 at $147.55 after a 3.9% drop, extending a decline from June peaks above $225 and reflecting trader caution over dilution even as Q2 revenue surged 92% year-over-year on Starlink expansion, Starship progress, and new AI infrastructure contracts. Market-implied odds cluster around $140–155 because these levels align with the post-unlock range and elevated volatility, while higher targets above $160 price in stronger absorption of supply or positive catalysts such as upcoming earnings or index inclusion flows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$145-$150 35%
$140-$145 31%
$150-$155 20%
$155-$160 13%
< $125
10%
$125-$130
10%
$130-$135
7%
$135-$140
13%
$140-$145
31%
$145-$150
35%
$150-$155
20%
$155-$160
13%
$160-$165
11%
$165-$170
10%
>$170
6%
$145-$150 35%
$140-$145 31%
$150-$155 20%
$155-$160 13%
< $125
10%
$125-$130
10%
$130-$135
7%
$135-$140
13%
$140-$145
31%
$145-$150
35%
$150-$155
20%
$155-$160
13%
$160-$165
11%
$165-$170
10%
>$170
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares have traded near $147–153 amid heavy supply pressure from the third major lock-up tranche releasing up to 319 million Class A shares on September 9, following an earlier August unlock that expanded the public float. The stock closed September 9 at $147.55 after a 3.9% drop, extending a decline from June peaks above $225 and reflecting trader caution over dilution even as Q2 revenue surged 92% year-over-year on Starlink expansion, Starship progress, and new AI infrastructure contracts. Market-implied odds cluster around $140–155 because these levels align with the post-unlock range and elevated volatility, while higher targets above $160 price in stronger absorption of supply or positive catalysts such as upcoming earnings or index inclusion flows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti