Tesla shares closed the prior week near $368 after rebounding from a post-Cybercab launch selloff, with the event's modest initial deployment of 45 vehicles in Austin and subsequent NHTSA review of self-certification creating near-term uncertainty. Traders weigh mixed analyst reactions—ranging from optimism on cost advantages in robotaxis to skepticism over timelines and economics—against broader factors including energy storage growth, FSD software updates, and elevated oil prices influencing EV sentiment. With next earnings slated for October 21 and the stock trading in a $355–$375 range amid 1.8 beta volatility, market-implied odds reflect a tight contest where positive regulatory clarity or delivery momentum could favor the >$375 bin while delays or macro headwinds pressure lower outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$355-$360 20%
$360-$365 15%
$350-$355 12%
$365-$370 12%
< $330
2%
$330-$335
10%
$335-$340
7%
$340-$345
8%
$345-$350
7%
$350-$355
12%
$355-$360
20%
$360-$365
15%
$365-$370
12%
370-375 dollari
11%
>$375
11%
$355-$360 20%
$360-$365 15%
$350-$355 12%
$365-$370 12%
< $330
2%
$330-$335
10%
$335-$340
7%
$340-$345
8%
$345-$350
7%
$350-$355
12%
$355-$360
20%
$360-$365
15%
$365-$370
12%
370-375 dollari
11%
>$375
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed the prior week near $368 after rebounding from a post-Cybercab launch selloff, with the event's modest initial deployment of 45 vehicles in Austin and subsequent NHTSA review of self-certification creating near-term uncertainty. Traders weigh mixed analyst reactions—ranging from optimism on cost advantages in robotaxis to skepticism over timelines and economics—against broader factors including energy storage growth, FSD software updates, and elevated oil prices influencing EV sentiment. With next earnings slated for October 21 and the stock trading in a $355–$375 range amid 1.8 beta volatility, market-implied odds reflect a tight contest where positive regulatory clarity or delivery momentum could favor the >$375 bin while delays or macro headwinds pressure lower outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti