Recent US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv in early September have revived diplomatic momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with both sides signaling readiness to resume negotiations possibly in October, potentially in the UAE. Russian officials including Lavrov and Peskov have left the door open without committing to dates or format, while Ukraine emphasizes the need for security guarantees and leader-level decisions on territory. The core impasse remains control over eastern Donbas regions, where Russia seeks additional concessions Ukraine has rejected. Temporary pauses in strikes facilitated the September meetings, but ongoing infrastructure attacks continue. Potential catalysts include UN General Assembly engagements later this month and any follow-up proposals from the Trump administration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$770,522 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
4%
15 ottobre
27%
31 ottobre
43%
30 novembre
57%
31 dicembre
66%
$770,522 Vol.
30 settembre
$368,695 Vol.
4%
15 ottobre
$34,214 Vol.
27%
31 ottobre
$41,074 Vol.
43%
30 novembre
$19,783 Vol.
57%
31 dicembre
$288,045 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv in early September have revived diplomatic momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with both sides signaling readiness to resume negotiations possibly in October, potentially in the UAE. Russian officials including Lavrov and Peskov have left the door open without committing to dates or format, while Ukraine emphasizes the need for security guarantees and leader-level decisions on territory. The core impasse remains control over eastern Donbas regions, where Russia seeks additional concessions Ukraine has rejected. Temporary pauses in strikes facilitated the September meetings, but ongoing infrastructure attacks continue. Potential catalysts include UN General Assembly engagements later this month and any follow-up proposals from the Trump administration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$770,522Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv in early September have revived diplomatic momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with both sides signaling readiness to resume negotiations possibly in October, potentially in the UAE. Russian officials including Lavrov and Peskov have left the door open without committing to dates or format, while Ukraine emphasizes the need for security guarantees and leader-level decisions on territory. The core impasse remains control over eastern Donbas regions, where Russia seeks additional concessions Ukraine has rejected. Temporary pauses in strikes facilitated the September meetings, but ongoing infrastructure attacks continue. Potential catalysts include UN General Assembly engagements later this month and any follow-up proposals from the Trump administration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$770,522Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent US envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv in early September have revived diplomatic momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with both sides signaling readiness to resume negotiations possibly in October, potentially in the UAE. Russian officials including Lavrov and Peskov have left the door open without committing to dates or format, while Ukraine emphasizes the need for security guarantees and leader-level decisions on territory. The core impasse remains control over eastern Donbas regions, where Russia seeks additional concessions Ukraine has rejected. Temporary pauses in strikes facilitated the September meetings, but ongoing infrastructure attacks continue. Potential catalysts include UN General Assembly engagements later this month and any follow-up proposals from the Trump administration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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