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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu
Politica·Taiwan

Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu

Chen Chen-chung 77%

Wu Shu-chin 16%

Yeh Chu-lin 3.7%

Chou Ni-an <1%

Polymarket

$10,458 Vol.

Chen Chen-chung 77%

Wu Shu-chin 16%

Yeh Chu-lin 3.7%

Chou Ni-an <1%

Polymarket

$10,458 Vol.

icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$3,186 Vol.

77%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$4,939 Vol.

16%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$428 Vol.

4%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$536 Vol.

1%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$385 Vol.

1%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$985 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Huxi Township head, leads the Penghu County Magistrate market at 77% amid a November 28, 2026, election. The KMT consolidated its base after nominating him without primary controversy, while the Democratic Progressive Party shifted to Wu Shu-chin, wife of incapacitated incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, following his early 2026 fall and ongoing health issues that ended his reelection bid. This substitution, combined with Penghu’s historical pan-blue leanings and the 2022 DPP victory stemming from a split opposition vote, has boosted trader consensus on Chen. Independent candidacies by Yeh Chu-lin and others at lower prices introduce potential vote fragmentation risks, though recent campaign headquarters launches and stable polling gaps have kept Chen’s implied probability elevated ahead of the vote count.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,458
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Huxi Township head, leads the Penghu County Magistrate market at 77% amid a November 28, 2026, election. The KMT consolidated its base after nominating him without primary controversy, while the Democratic Progressive Party shifted to Wu Shu-chin, wife of incapacitated incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, following his early 2026 fall and ongoing health issues that ended his reelection bid. This substitution, combined with Penghu’s historical pan-blue leanings and the 2022 DPP victory stemming from a split opposition vote, has boosted trader consensus on Chen. Independent candidacies by Yeh Chu-lin and others at lower prices introduce potential vote fragmentation risks, though recent campaign headquarters launches and stable polling gaps have kept Chen’s implied probability elevated ahead of the vote count.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,458
Data di fine
28 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Chou Chun-mi vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Pingtung?

Chou Chun-mi vincerà le prossime elezioni per magistrato della contea di Pingtung?

88%
Sì
icon for Cheng Chao-fang vincerà la prossima elezione per Magistrato della Contea di Hsinchu?

Cheng Chao-fang vincerà la prossima elezione per Magistrato della Contea di Hsinchu?

60%
Sì
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua vincerà le prossime elezioni del Magistrato della Contea di Taitung?

Wu Hsiu-hua vincerà le prossime elezioni del Magistrato della Contea di Taitung?

87%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Chen Chen-chung" a 77%, seguito da "Wu Shu-chin" a 16%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 77¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu" ha generato $10.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu" è "Chen Chen-chung" a 77%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Wu Shu-chin" a 16%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del magistrato della contea di Penghu" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.