Elon Musk’s September 2 statement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader attention around September 12, yet the spread across September 15–17 reflects xAI’s pattern of timeline slippage and the gap between founder posts and official releases. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, trained with supplemental SpaceX engineering data, promises gains in capability and token efficiency over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release while accepting modestly higher inference latency. With no model card, API identifier, or xAI announcement as of September 8, probabilities remain diffuse as markets weigh final testing, rollout logistics, and the risk of further delays common in frontier LLM cycles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNext Grok Model (4.7+) rilasciato il...?
Next Grok Model (4.7+) rilasciato il...?
17 settembre 40.0%
15 settembre 39.0%
18 settembre 38%
16 settembre 38.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
10 settembre
1%
11 settembre
26%
12 settembre
34%
13 settembre
1%
14 settembre
33%
15 settembre
39%
16 settembre
38%
17 settembre
40%
18 settembre
38%
19 settembre
1%
20 settembre
1%
21 settembre
1%
22 settembre
3%
23 settembre
6%
24 settembre
3%
25 settembre
1%
26 settembre
<1%
27 settembre
<1%
28 settembre
5%
29 settembre
1%
30 settembre
1%
Nessuna versione entro il 30 settembre
9%
17 settembre 40.0%
15 settembre 39.0%
18 settembre 38%
16 settembre 38.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
10 settembre
$202 Vol.
1%
11 settembre
$308 Vol.
26%
12 settembre
$550 Vol.
34%
13 settembre
$322 Vol.
1%
14 settembre
$205 Vol.
33%
15 settembre
$257 Vol.
39%
16 settembre
$215 Vol.
38%
17 settembre
$215 Vol.
40%
18 settembre
$411 Vol.
38%
19 settembre
$530 Vol.
1%
20 settembre
$505 Vol.
1%
21 settembre
$505 Vol.
1%
22 settembre
$345 Vol.
3%
23 settembre
$572 Vol.
6%
24 settembre
$345 Vol.
3%
25 settembre
$505 Vol.
1%
26 settembre
$505 Vol.
<1%
27 settembre
$505 Vol.
<1%
28 settembre
$379 Vol.
5%
29 settembre
$379 Vol.
1%
30 settembre
$505 Vol.
1%
Nessuna versione entro il 30 settembre
$345 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 statement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader attention around September 12, yet the spread across September 15–17 reflects xAI’s pattern of timeline slippage and the gap between founder posts and official releases. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, trained with supplemental SpaceX engineering data, promises gains in capability and token efficiency over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release while accepting modestly higher inference latency. With no model card, API identifier, or xAI announcement as of September 8, probabilities remain diffuse as markets weigh final testing, rollout logistics, and the risk of further delays common in frontier LLM cycles.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Volume
$8,777Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 statement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader attention around September 12, yet the spread across September 15–17 reflects xAI’s pattern of timeline slippage and the gap between founder posts and official releases. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, trained with supplemental SpaceX engineering data, promises gains in capability and token efficiency over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release while accepting modestly higher inference latency. With no model card, API identifier, or xAI announcement as of September 8, probabilities remain diffuse as markets weigh final testing, rollout logistics, and the risk of further delays common in frontier LLM cycles.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,777Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s September 2 statement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors trader attention around September 12, yet the spread across September 15–17 reflects xAI’s pattern of timeline slippage and the gap between founder posts and official releases. The 2.1-trillion-parameter model, trained with supplemental SpaceX engineering data, promises gains in capability and token efficiency over the August 12 Grok 4.6 release while accepting modestly higher inference latency. With no model card, API identifier, or xAI announcement as of September 8, probabilities remain diffuse as markets weigh final testing, rollout logistics, and the risk of further delays common in frontier LLM cycles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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