Anthropic’s mid-tier Sonnet line has followed a roughly four-to-five-month cadence, with Sonnet 4.6 launching in February 2026 and Sonnet 5 arriving June 30 as the most agentic version yet, delivering near-Opus 4.8 performance in coding, tool use, and autonomous planning at lower cost. Since that release, focus has shifted to Opus 5 in July and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, leaving no confirmed Sonnet update or roadmap hint in the past ten weeks. Traders therefore weigh historical spacing against the absence of leaks or developer-conference signals that typically precede new Sonnet models, while monitoring competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on agentic benchmarks and any changes in Anthropic’s release priorities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo sonetto di Claude pubblicato da...?
Il prossimo sonetto di Claude pubblicato da...?
$15,346 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 settembre
22%
31 ottobre
90%
31 dicembre
98%
$15,346 Vol.
30 settembre
$910 Vol.
22%
31 ottobre
$6,941 Vol.
90%
31 dicembre
$3,757 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s mid-tier Sonnet line has followed a roughly four-to-five-month cadence, with Sonnet 4.6 launching in February 2026 and Sonnet 5 arriving June 30 as the most agentic version yet, delivering near-Opus 4.8 performance in coding, tool use, and autonomous planning at lower cost. Since that release, focus has shifted to Opus 5 in July and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, leaving no confirmed Sonnet update or roadmap hint in the past ten weeks. Traders therefore weigh historical spacing against the absence of leaks or developer-conference signals that typically precede new Sonnet models, while monitoring competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on agentic benchmarks and any changes in Anthropic’s release priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Volume
$15,346Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s mid-tier Sonnet line has followed a roughly four-to-five-month cadence, with Sonnet 4.6 launching in February 2026 and Sonnet 5 arriving June 30 as the most agentic version yet, delivering near-Opus 4.8 performance in coding, tool use, and autonomous planning at lower cost. Since that release, focus has shifted to Opus 5 in July and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, leaving no confirmed Sonnet update or roadmap hint in the past ten weeks. Traders therefore weigh historical spacing against the absence of leaks or developer-conference signals that typically precede new Sonnet models, while monitoring competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on agentic benchmarks and any changes in Anthropic’s release priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$15,346Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s mid-tier Sonnet line has followed a roughly four-to-five-month cadence, with Sonnet 4.6 launching in February 2026 and Sonnet 5 arriving June 30 as the most agentic version yet, delivering near-Opus 4.8 performance in coding, tool use, and autonomous planning at lower cost. Since that release, focus has shifted to Opus 5 in July and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, leaving no confirmed Sonnet update or roadmap hint in the past ten weeks. Traders therefore weigh historical spacing against the absence of leaks or developer-conference signals that typically precede new Sonnet models, while monitoring competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google on agentic benchmarks and any changes in Anthropic’s release priorities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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