**Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Montana’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s Republican lean, his strong primary performance, and the persistent split in the non-Republican vote.** Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew late in the filing period and backed Alme, who secured Trump’s endorsement and won the June Republican primary with 76% of the vote. Alani Bankhead captured the Democratic nomination but has faced pressure from prominent state Democrats to exit and consolidate support behind independent Seth Bodnar, whose polling has remained competitive yet insufficient to overcome the division. Recent surveys through early September show Alme ahead by 8–15 points in a four-way field, consistent with the state’s voting patterns and the absence of major late-breaking shifts. A unified opposition behind Bodnar or unexpected developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant polling movement could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages favoring the Republican nominee.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Montana
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Montana
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Indipendente 7.6%
Alani Bankhead (D) <1%
$118,364 Vol.
$118,364 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
91%
Indipendente
8%
Alani Bankhead (D)
1%
Kurt Alme (R) 91%
Indipendente 7.6%
Alani Bankhead (D) <1%
$118,364 Vol.
$118,364 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Kurt Alme (R)
$59,671 Vol.
91%
Indipendente
$18,015 Vol.
8%
Alani Bankhead (D)
$40,679 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Montana’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s Republican lean, his strong primary performance, and the persistent split in the non-Republican vote.** Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew late in the filing period and backed Alme, who secured Trump’s endorsement and won the June Republican primary with 76% of the vote. Alani Bankhead captured the Democratic nomination but has faced pressure from prominent state Democrats to exit and consolidate support behind independent Seth Bodnar, whose polling has remained competitive yet insufficient to overcome the division. Recent surveys through early September show Alme ahead by 8–15 points in a four-way field, consistent with the state’s voting patterns and the absence of major late-breaking shifts. A unified opposition behind Bodnar or unexpected developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant polling movement could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$118,364Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Montana’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s Republican lean, his strong primary performance, and the persistent split in the non-Republican vote.** Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew late in the filing period and backed Alme, who secured Trump’s endorsement and won the June Republican primary with 76% of the vote. Alani Bankhead captured the Democratic nomination but has faced pressure from prominent state Democrats to exit and consolidate support behind independent Seth Bodnar, whose polling has remained competitive yet insufficient to overcome the division. Recent surveys through early September show Alme ahead by 8–15 points in a four-way field, consistent with the state’s voting patterns and the absence of major late-breaking shifts. A unified opposition behind Bodnar or unexpected developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant polling movement could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$118,364Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for Montana’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s Republican lean, his strong primary performance, and the persistent split in the non-Republican vote.** Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew late in the filing period and backed Alme, who secured Trump’s endorsement and won the June Republican primary with 76% of the vote. Alani Bankhead captured the Democratic nomination but has faced pressure from prominent state Democrats to exit and consolidate support behind independent Seth Bodnar, whose polling has remained competitive yet insufficient to overcome the division. Recent surveys through early September show Alme ahead by 8–15 points in a four-way field, consistent with the state’s voting patterns and the absence of major late-breaking shifts. A unified opposition behind Bodnar or unexpected developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant polling movement could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages favoring the Republican nominee.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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