Aaron Flint leads trader expectations in the Montana 1st congressional district race due to the district’s Republican tilt—Trump carried it by 12 points in 2024—and his primary victory with early Trump endorsement in an open seat previously held by Ryan Zinke. Flint’s background as a radio host and veteran aligns with core voter priorities on economic and cultural issues. Sam Forstag remains competitive at 37.5% thanks to his June primary win, DCCC Red to Blue placement, union support, and recent bipartisan backing including from former RNC chair Marc Racicot, which highlights crossover appeal in a battleground district. A June internal poll showed a statistical tie, but most forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican heading into the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$11,260 Vol.
$11,260 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
62%
Sam Forstag (D)
38%
$11,260 Vol.
$11,260 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
$6,189 Vol.
62%
Sam Forstag (D)
$5,071 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint leads trader expectations in the Montana 1st congressional district race due to the district’s Republican tilt—Trump carried it by 12 points in 2024—and his primary victory with early Trump endorsement in an open seat previously held by Ryan Zinke. Flint’s background as a radio host and veteran aligns with core voter priorities on economic and cultural issues. Sam Forstag remains competitive at 37.5% thanks to his June primary win, DCCC Red to Blue placement, union support, and recent bipartisan backing including from former RNC chair Marc Racicot, which highlights crossover appeal in a battleground district. A June internal poll showed a statistical tie, but most forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$11,260Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint leads trader expectations in the Montana 1st congressional district race due to the district’s Republican tilt—Trump carried it by 12 points in 2024—and his primary victory with early Trump endorsement in an open seat previously held by Ryan Zinke. Flint’s background as a radio host and veteran aligns with core voter priorities on economic and cultural issues. Sam Forstag remains competitive at 37.5% thanks to his June primary win, DCCC Red to Blue placement, union support, and recent bipartisan backing including from former RNC chair Marc Racicot, which highlights crossover appeal in a battleground district. A June internal poll showed a statistical tie, but most forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,260Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Flint leads trader expectations in the Montana 1st congressional district race due to the district’s Republican tilt—Trump carried it by 12 points in 2024—and his primary victory with early Trump endorsement in an open seat previously held by Ryan Zinke. Flint’s background as a radio host and veteran aligns with core voter priorities on economic and cultural issues. Sam Forstag remains competitive at 37.5% thanks to his June primary win, DCCC Red to Blue placement, union support, and recent bipartisan backing including from former RNC chair Marc Racicot, which highlights crossover appeal in a battleground district. A June internal poll showed a statistical tie, but most forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican heading into the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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