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icon for Quanto sarà forte Nolo?

Quanto sarà forte Nolo?

icon for Quanto sarà forte Nolo?

Quanto sarà forte Nolo?

Categoria 3 47%

Categoria 4 27%

Categoria 2 26%

Categoria 1 o più debole 21%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Categoria 3 47%

Categoria 4 27%

Categoria 2 26%

Categoria 1 o più debole 21%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Categoria 1 o più debole

$0 Vol.

21%

Categoria 2

$0 Vol.

26%

Categoria 3

$20 Vol.

47%

Categoria 4

$0 Vol.

27%

Categoria 5

$0 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Nolo. Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Nolo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, Category 2 is 96 to 110 mph, Category 3 is 111 to 129 mph, Category 4 is 130 to 156 mph, and Category 5 is 157 mph or greater. Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category. If Nolo never reaches Category 1 strength, "Category 1 or weaker" will resolve to "Yes". Wind speeds will be used exactly as published, without rounding. Maximum sustained winds are reported in increments of 5 mph. Post-storm best track data and the Tropical Cyclone Report for Nolo will not be considered for resolution. Advisories issued by any agency other than the Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the National Hurricane Center will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once Nolo dissipates. If Nolo has not dissipated by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the advisory data needed to determine its peak intensity has not been published by that time, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after that date; it will then resolve based on the finalized advisory data published up to that point. If the data is still unavailable at the end of that period, or publication has been discontinued, this market will resolve according to the highest category assigned to Nolo in any advisory published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the issuing center differing from other sources. A reanalysis or reclassification of Nolo's intensity published after Nolo dissipates will not change the resolution of this market. Revisions published before Nolo dissipates will be considered; revisions published after it dissipates will not be considered for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisories issued for Nolo by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), specifically the category and the maximum sustained wind speed stated in the advisory.Tropical Storm Nolo, currently at 65 mph with a minimum pressure of 995 mb south of Hawaii, is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to intensify rapidly into a hurricane tonight and reach major hurricane strength near the Big Island by Saturday. Official model guidance projects peak sustained winds of 105-120 mph, aligning with Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale and supporting the market's leading 72.5% implied probability for that outcome. Warm central Pacific sea surface temperatures and favorable steering patterns are driving the expected strengthening, though environmental factors appear likely to cap intensity below Category 4 thresholds. Updated intensity forecasts and any shifts in track or shear will be key near-term catalysts for trader sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Nolo. Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Nolo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm.

The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, Category 2 is 96 to 110 mph, Category 3 is 111 to 129 mph, Category 4 is 130 to 156 mph, and Category 5 is 157 mph or greater. Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category. If Nolo never reaches Category 1 strength, "Category 1 or weaker" will resolve to "Yes".

Wind speeds will be used exactly as published, without rounding. Maximum sustained winds are reported in increments of 5 mph. Post-storm best track data and the Tropical Cyclone Report for Nolo will not be considered for resolution. Advisories issued by any agency other than the Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the National Hurricane Center will not be considered for resolution.

This market will resolve once Nolo dissipates. If Nolo has not dissipated by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the advisory data needed to determine its peak intensity has not been published by that time, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after that date; it will then resolve based on the finalized advisory data published up to that point.

If the data is still unavailable at the end of that period, or publication has been discontinued, this market will resolve according to the highest category assigned to Nolo in any advisory published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the issuing center differing from other sources.

A reanalysis or reclassification of Nolo's intensity published after Nolo dissipates will not change the resolution of this market. Revisions published before Nolo dissipates will be considered; revisions published after it dissipates will not be considered for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisories issued for Nolo by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), specifically the category and the maximum sustained wind speed stated in the advisory.This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Nolo. Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Nolo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, Category 2 is 96 to 110 mph, Category 3 is 111 to 129 mph, Category 4 is 130 to 156 mph, and Category 5 is 157 mph or greater. Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category. If Nolo never reaches Category 1 strength, "Category 1 or weaker" will resolve to "Yes". Wind speeds will be used exactly as published, without rounding. Maximum sustained winds are reported in increments of 5 mph. Post-storm best track data and the Tropical Cyclone Report for Nolo will not be considered for resolution. Advisories issued by any agency other than the Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the National Hurricane Center will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once Nolo dissipates. If Nolo has not dissipated by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the advisory data needed to determine its peak intensity has not been published by that time, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after that date; it will then resolve based on the finalized advisory data published up to that point. If the data is still unavailable at the end of that period, or publication has been discontinued, this market will resolve according to the highest category assigned to Nolo in any advisory published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the issuing center differing from other sources. A reanalysis or reclassification of Nolo's intensity published after Nolo dissipates will not change the resolution of this market. Revisions published before Nolo dissipates will be considered; revisions published after it dissipates will not be considered for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisories issued for Nolo by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), specifically the category and the maximum sustained wind speed stated in the advisory.
Volume
$20
Data di fine
16 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 24, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Risolutore

0x69c47de9d...
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Nolo. Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Nolo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, Category 2 is 96 to 110 mph, Category 3 is 111 to 129 mph, Category 4 is 130 to 156 mph, and Category 5 is 157 mph or greater. Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category. If Nolo never reaches Category 1 strength, "Category 1 or weaker" will resolve to "Yes". Wind speeds will be used exactly as published, without rounding. Maximum sustained winds are reported in increments of 5 mph. Post-storm best track data and the Tropical Cyclone Report for Nolo will not be considered for resolution. Advisories issued by any agency other than the Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the National Hurricane Center will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once Nolo dissipates. If Nolo has not dissipated by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the advisory data needed to determine its peak intensity has not been published by that time, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after that date; it will then resolve based on the finalized advisory data published up to that point. If the data is still unavailable at the end of that period, or publication has been discontinued, this market will resolve according to the highest category assigned to Nolo in any advisory published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the issuing center differing from other sources. A reanalysis or reclassification of Nolo's intensity published after Nolo dissipates will not change the resolution of this market. Revisions published before Nolo dissipates will be considered; revisions published after it dissipates will not be considered for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisories issued for Nolo by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), specifically the category and the maximum sustained wind speed stated in the advisory.Tropical Storm Nolo, currently at 65 mph with a minimum pressure of 995 mb south of Hawaii, is forecast by the National Hurricane Center to intensify rapidly into a hurricane tonight and reach major hurricane strength near the Big Island by Saturday. Official model guidance projects peak sustained winds of 105-120 mph, aligning with Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale and supporting the market's leading 72.5% implied probability for that outcome. Warm central Pacific sea surface temperatures and favorable steering patterns are driving the expected strengthening, though environmental factors appear likely to cap intensity below Category 4 thresholds. Updated intensity forecasts and any shifts in track or shear will be key near-term catalysts for trader sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Nolo. Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Nolo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm.

The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, Category 2 is 96 to 110 mph, Category 3 is 111 to 129 mph, Category 4 is 130 to 156 mph, and Category 5 is 157 mph or greater. Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category. If Nolo never reaches Category 1 strength, "Category 1 or weaker" will resolve to "Yes".

Wind speeds will be used exactly as published, without rounding. Maximum sustained winds are reported in increments of 5 mph. Post-storm best track data and the Tropical Cyclone Report for Nolo will not be considered for resolution. Advisories issued by any agency other than the Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the National Hurricane Center will not be considered for resolution.

This market will resolve once Nolo dissipates. If Nolo has not dissipated by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the advisory data needed to determine its peak intensity has not been published by that time, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after that date; it will then resolve based on the finalized advisory data published up to that point.

If the data is still unavailable at the end of that period, or publication has been discontinued, this market will resolve according to the highest category assigned to Nolo in any advisory published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the issuing center differing from other sources.

A reanalysis or reclassification of Nolo's intensity published after Nolo dissipates will not change the resolution of this market. Revisions published before Nolo dissipates will be considered; revisions published after it dissipates will not be considered for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisories issued for Nolo by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), specifically the category and the maximum sustained wind speed stated in the advisory.This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Nolo. Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Nolo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, Category 2 is 96 to 110 mph, Category 3 is 111 to 129 mph, Category 4 is 130 to 156 mph, and Category 5 is 157 mph or greater. Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category. If Nolo never reaches Category 1 strength, "Category 1 or weaker" will resolve to "Yes". Wind speeds will be used exactly as published, without rounding. Maximum sustained winds are reported in increments of 5 mph. Post-storm best track data and the Tropical Cyclone Report for Nolo will not be considered for resolution. Advisories issued by any agency other than the Central Pacific Hurricane Center and the National Hurricane Center will not be considered for resolution. This market will resolve once Nolo dissipates. If Nolo has not dissipated by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the advisory data needed to determine its peak intensity has not been published by that time, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after that date; it will then resolve based on the finalized advisory data published up to that point. If the data is still unavailable at the end of that period, or publication has been discontinued, this market will resolve according to the highest category assigned to Nolo in any advisory published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to the issuing center differing from other sources. A reanalysis or reclassification of Nolo's intensity published after Nolo dissipates will not change the resolution of this market. Revisions published before Nolo dissipates will be considered; revisions published after it dissipates will not be considered for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisories issued for Nolo by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/), specifically the category and the maximum sustained wind speed stated in the advisory.
Volume
$20
Data di fine
16 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 24, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Risolutore

0x69c47de9d...

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Quanto sarà forte Nolo?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Categoria 3" a 89%, seguito da "Categoria 4" a 49%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Quanto sarà forte Nolo?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 24, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Quanto sarà forte Nolo?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quanto sarà forte Nolo?" è "Categoria 3" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Categoria 4" a 49%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quanto sarà forte Nolo?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.