**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.** Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high. The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 10 settembre?
21°C 100.0%
17°C o inferiore <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$65,979 Vol.
$65,979 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Sì
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o più alta
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C o inferiore <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$65,979 Vol.
$65,979 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Sì
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o più alta
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus centers on 21°C as the daily maximum temperature in Paris on September 10, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting real-time meteorological observations.** Official forecasts and station data indicate a peak of approximately 21–23°C (70–73°F) during the afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the long-term average high is roughly 22°C, and no anomalous warming or cooling events altered the pattern. Evening readings fell to 18–20°C, confirming the daytime high. The strong scientific backing comes from consistent model runs (e.g., GFS) and surface observations showing minimal diurnal variability and no convective activity to drive outliers. Only narrow scenarios—such as a last-minute station-specific spike above 22°C or measurement revision—could shift the outcome, though current data make these improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti