**Trader consensus has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Madrid on September 18, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment between official observations and short-range model guidance.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have produced a peak consistent with AEMET station readings and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which show afternoon temperatures topping out near 28°C without significant diurnal variability or moisture advection. This outcome matches the current observational consensus from multiple Madrid-area stations and avoids thresholds that would require anomalous warming or measurement error. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor post-processing revisions in official daily extremes or highly localized urban heat-island effects, though the tight model spread and absence of convective activity make such shifts improbable before final recording.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 18 settembre?
28°C 100%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,051 Vol.
$49,051 Vol.
18 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Sì
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o superiore
No
28°C 100%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,051 Vol.
$49,051 Vol.
18 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$905 Vol.
No
23°C
$988 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,552 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,209 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,106 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,563 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,540 Vol.
Sì
29°C
$14,685 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,612 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,381 Vol.
No
32°C o superiore
$3,512 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Madrid on September 18, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment between official observations and short-range model guidance.**
Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have produced a peak consistent with AEMET station readings and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which show afternoon temperatures topping out near 28°C without significant diurnal variability or moisture advection. This outcome matches the current observational consensus from multiple Madrid-area stations and avoids thresholds that would require anomalous warming or measurement error.
Realistic challenges remain limited to minor post-processing revisions in official daily extremes or highly localized urban heat-island effects, though the tight model spread and absence of convective activity make such shifts improbable before final recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$49,051Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Madrid on September 18, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment between official observations and short-range model guidance.**
Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have produced a peak consistent with AEMET station readings and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which show afternoon temperatures topping out near 28°C without significant diurnal variability or moisture advection. This outcome matches the current observational consensus from multiple Madrid-area stations and avoids thresholds that would require anomalous warming or measurement error.
Realistic challenges remain limited to minor post-processing revisions in official daily extremes or highly localized urban heat-island effects, though the tight model spread and absence of convective activity make such shifts improbable before final recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,051Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Madrid on September 18, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment between official observations and short-range model guidance.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have produced a peak consistent with AEMET station readings and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF, which show afternoon temperatures topping out near 28°C without significant diurnal variability or moisture advection. This outcome matches the current observational consensus from multiple Madrid-area stations and avoids thresholds that would require anomalous warming or measurement error. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor post-processing revisions in official daily extremes or highly localized urban heat-island effects, though the tight model spread and absence of convective activity make such shifts improbable before final recording.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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