Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models place Jinan’s September 16 high at 32–35 °C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow. These readings align with late-summer climatology for the North China Plain, where daytime maxima commonly exceed 30 °C before autumn cooling sets in. Real-time surface observations and model consensus confirm temperatures will comfortably surpass the 26 °C threshold, producing the market’s near-100 % implied probability for that outcome. Only an unforeseen rapid cold-air intrusion or major measurement revision could alter the result, scenarios not supported by current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 16 settembre?
26°C o superiore 100%
16°C o meno <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,447 Vol.
$2,447 Vol.
16°C o meno
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
Sì
26°C o superiore 100%
16°C o meno <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,447 Vol.
$2,447 Vol.
16°C o meno
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
Sì
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models place Jinan’s September 16 high at 32–35 °C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow. These readings align with late-summer climatology for the North China Plain, where daytime maxima commonly exceed 30 °C before autumn cooling sets in. Real-time surface observations and model consensus confirm temperatures will comfortably surpass the 26 °C threshold, producing the market’s near-100 % implied probability for that outcome. Only an unforeseen rapid cold-air intrusion or major measurement revision could alter the result, scenarios not supported by current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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