The Bank of Korea’s October 22, 2026, decision carries a 77.5% market-implied probability of no change at the current 3.00% base rate, reflecting the central bank’s need to assess the effects of its back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth of 3.3%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target—August CPI at 3.1% with core measures at multi-year highs—supports the 22.5% odds of a further 25 basis point increase, yet Governor Shin Hyun-song’s post-August guidance emphasized a gradual pace and data dependence, including September inflation and Q2 nominal GDP releases. Financial stability risks from housing prices and household debt further tilt sentiment toward a pause before any additional tightening, consistent with the six-month dot plot median near 3.25%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessun cambiamento 78%
Aumento di 25 punti base 23%
Aumento di 50+ punti base 1.4%
Taglio di 25 punti base 1.0%
$10,726 Vol.
$10,726 Vol.
21 ott 2026
Taglio di 50+ punti base
1%
Taglio di 25 punti base
1%
Nessun cambiamento
78%
Aumento di 25 punti base
23%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
1%
Nessun cambiamento 78%
Aumento di 25 punti base 23%
Aumento di 50+ punti base 1.4%
Taglio di 25 punti base 1.0%
$10,726 Vol.
$10,726 Vol.
21 ott 2026
Taglio di 50+ punti base
$213 Vol.
1%
Taglio di 25 punti base
$374 Vol.
1%
Nessun cambiamento
$6,037 Vol.
78%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$3,770 Vol.
23%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
$331 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s October 22, 2026, decision carries a 77.5% market-implied probability of no change at the current 3.00% base rate, reflecting the central bank’s need to assess the effects of its back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth of 3.3%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target—August CPI at 3.1% with core measures at multi-year highs—supports the 22.5% odds of a further 25 basis point increase, yet Governor Shin Hyun-song’s post-August guidance emphasized a gradual pace and data dependence, including September inflation and Q2 nominal GDP releases. Financial stability risks from housing prices and household debt further tilt sentiment toward a pause before any additional tightening, consistent with the six-month dot plot median near 3.25%.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volume
$10,726Data di fine
22 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s October 22, 2026, decision carries a 77.5% market-implied probability of no change at the current 3.00% base rate, reflecting the central bank’s need to assess the effects of its back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth of 3.3%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target—August CPI at 3.1% with core measures at multi-year highs—supports the 22.5% odds of a further 25 basis point increase, yet Governor Shin Hyun-song’s post-August guidance emphasized a gradual pace and data dependence, including September inflation and Q2 nominal GDP releases. Financial stability risks from housing prices and household debt further tilt sentiment toward a pause before any additional tightening, consistent with the six-month dot plot median near 3.25%.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$10,726Data di fine
22 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s October 22, 2026, decision carries a 77.5% market-implied probability of no change at the current 3.00% base rate, reflecting the central bank’s need to assess the effects of its back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth of 3.3%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target—August CPI at 3.1% with core measures at multi-year highs—supports the 22.5% odds of a further 25 basis point increase, yet Governor Shin Hyun-song’s post-August guidance emphasized a gradual pace and data dependence, including September inflation and Q2 nominal GDP releases. Financial stability risks from housing prices and household debt further tilt sentiment toward a pause before any additional tightening, consistent with the six-month dot plot median near 3.25%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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