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icon for Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

BARU
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$4,426 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$1,050 Vol.

4%

December 31

$2,211 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold a slim Senate majority alongside House control and the White House, enabling use of the reconciliation process to advance budget-related measures with a simple majority and no filibuster. Two prior packages cleared Congress in 2025 and June 2026, including the Secure America Act funding border and immigration enforcement. Senate GOP leaders have shown limited urgency for a third bill ahead of the November 2026 midterms, citing internal disagreements over priorities such as defense spending, tax changes, and offsets. Discussions continue around a possible lame-duck session after the elections for supplemental defense, agriculture, or tax provisions, though narrow margins and competing must-pass items like appropriations could constrain action. Trader assessments reflect these procedural and political timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,426
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold a slim Senate majority alongside House control and the White House, enabling use of the reconciliation process to advance budget-related measures with a simple majority and no filibuster. Two prior packages cleared Congress in 2025 and June 2026, including the Secure America Act funding border and immigration enforcement. Senate GOP leaders have shown limited urgency for a third bill ahead of the November 2026 midterms, citing internal disagreements over priorities such as defense spending, tax changes, and offsets. Discussions continue around a possible lame-duck session after the elections for supplemental defense, agriculture, or tax provisions, though narrow margins and competing must-pass items like appropriations could constrain action. Trader assessments reflect these procedural and political timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,426
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 30%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 4%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 30¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" adalah "December 31" di 30%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 30% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 4%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.