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icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

$16,818 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$16,818 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$1,618 Vol.

1%

December 31

$12,914 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans control the House with a narrow majority, enabling party-line passage of budget reconciliation measures that bypass the Senate filibuster. After enacting two prior reconciliation packages in 2025-2026—including one signed in June providing mandatory funding for border enforcement—House leaders advanced a July budget resolution outlining a potential third package focused on defense, agriculture aid, and election-related provisions. The Senate has not matched that framework, however, while fiscal conservatives have raised concerns over the absence of spending offsets amid a crowded September schedule that includes must-pass appropriations and a continuing resolution. Limited legislative days before the midterm elections further constrain floor time for completing another reconciliation bill.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,818
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans control the House with a narrow majority, enabling party-line passage of budget reconciliation measures that bypass the Senate filibuster. After enacting two prior reconciliation packages in 2025-2026—including one signed in June providing mandatory funding for border enforcement—House leaders advanced a July budget resolution outlining a potential third package focused on defense, agriculture aid, and election-related provisions. The Senate has not matched that framework, however, while fiscal conservatives have raised concerns over the absence of spending offsets amid a crowded September schedule that includes must-pass appropriations and a continuing resolution. Limited legislative days before the midterm elections further constrain floor time for completing another reconciliation bill.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,818
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 22%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 22¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 22% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" telah menghasilkan $16.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" adalah "December 31" di 22%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 22% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.