This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo at its fall event serves as the primary driver behind current trader sentiment. The book-style foldable, with a 7.6-inch inner display and starting price of $1,999, is scheduled for pre-order on October 16 and availability on October 23, positioning it as a direct response to Samsung and Google models. New CEO John Ternus highlighted improvements in screen crease reduction, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, reflecting years of internal development accelerated under former leadership. This official confirmation and near-term launch window have solidified market-implied odds, though supply constraints or last-minute adjustments remain theoretical risks ahead of the October rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo at its fall event serves as the primary driver behind current trader sentiment. The book-style foldable, with a 7.6-inch inner display and starting price of $1,999, is scheduled for pre-order on October 16 and availability on October 23, positioning it as a direct response to Samsung and Google models. New CEO John Ternus highlighted improvements in screen crease reduction, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, reflecting years of internal development accelerated under former leadership. This official confirmation and near-term launch window have solidified market-implied odds, though supply constraints or last-minute adjustments remain theoretical risks ahead of the October rollout.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo at its fall event serves as the primary driver behind current trader sentiment. The book-style foldable, with a 7.6-inch inner display and starting price of $1,999, is scheduled for pre-order on October 16 and availability on October 23, positioning it as a direct response to Samsung and Google models. New CEO John Ternus highlighted improvements in screen crease reduction, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, reflecting years of internal development accelerated under former leadership. This official confirmation and near-term launch window have solidified market-implied odds, though supply constraints or last-minute adjustments remain theoretical risks ahead of the October rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo at its fall event serves as the primary driver behind current trader sentiment. The book-style foldable, with a 7.6-inch inner display and starting price of $1,999, is scheduled for pre-order on October 16 and availability on October 23, positioning it as a direct response to Samsung and Google models. New CEO John Ternus highlighted improvements in screen crease reduction, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, reflecting years of internal development accelerated under former leadership. This official confirmation and near-term launch window have solidified market-implied odds, though supply constraints or last-minute adjustments remain theoretical risks ahead of the October rollout.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "October 31" di 99%, diikuti oleh "December 31" di 99%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 99¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 99% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.
Per hari ini, "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" telah menghasilkan $950.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 12, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.
Untuk trading di "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.
Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" adalah "October 31" di 99%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 99% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "December 31" di 99%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.
Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.
Ya. Kamu tidak perlu trading untuk tetap terinformasi. Halaman ini berfungsi sebagai pelacak langsung untuk "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?." Probabilitas hasil diperbarui secara real-time saat trade baru masuk. Kamu bisa menandai halaman ini dan memeriksa bagian komentar untuk melihat apa yang dikatakan trader lain. Kamu juga bisa menggunakan filter rentang waktu pada grafik untuk melihat bagaimana peluang bergeser seiring waktu. Ini jendela real-time gratis tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.
Peluang Polymarket ditetapkan oleh trader nyata yang menaruh uang nyata di balik keyakinan mereka, yang cenderung menghasilkan prediksi yang akurat. Dengan $950.9K diperdagangkan pada "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?," harga-harga ini mengumpulkan pengetahuan dan keyakinan kolektif dari ribuan peserta — sering kali mengalahkan jajak pendapat, prakiraan ahli, dan survei tradisional. Pasar prediksi seperti Polymarket memiliki rekam jejak akurasi yang kuat, terutama saat event mendekati tanggal resolusinya. Misalnya, Polymarket memiliki skor akurasi satu bulan sebesar 94%. Untuk statistik terbaru tentang akurasi prediksi Polymarket, kunjungi halaman akurasi di Polymarket.
Untuk melakukan trade pertamamu di "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?," daftar akun Polymarket gratis dan isi dengan crypto, kartu kredit atau debit, atau transfer bank. Setelah akunmu terisi, kembali ke halaman ini, pilih hasil yang ingin kamu trading, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu baru di pasar prediksi, klik link "Cara kerjanya" di bagian atas halaman Polymarket mana pun untuk panduan langkah demi langkah tentang cara trading.
Di Polymarket, harga setiap hasil mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Harga 99¢ untuk "October 31" di pasar "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" berarti trader secara kolektif percaya ada sekitar peluang 99% bahwa "October 31" akan menjadi hasil yang benar. Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" di 99¢ dan hasilnya benar, kamu menerima $1,00 per saham — keuntungan 1¢ per saham. Jika salah, saham tersebut bernilai $0.
Pasar "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" dijadwalkan diselesaikan pada atau sekitar Dec 31, 2026. Ini berarti trading akan tetap terbuka dan peluang akan terus bergeser saat informasi baru muncul sampai tanggal tersebut. Waktu resolusi tepat tergantung pada kapan hasil resmi tersedia, seperti diuraikan di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini.
Pasar "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?" memiliki komunitas aktif dengan 25 komentar di mana trader berbagi analisis, memperdebatkan hasil, dan membahas perkembangan terkini. Scroll ke bawah ke bagian komentar untuk membaca apa yang dipikirkan peserta lain. Kamu juga bisa memfilter berdasarkan "Top Holder" untuk melihat posisi trader terbesar pasar, atau periksa tab "Aktivitas" untuk feed real-time dari trade.
Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapatkan keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu tentang event dunia nyata. Trader membeli dan menjual saham pada hasil untuk topik mulai dari politik dan pemilu hingga crypto, keuangan, olahraga, teknologi, dan budaya, termasuk pasar seperti "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?." Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial, sering kali memberikan sinyal yang lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat, pakar, atau survei tradisional.
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