Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Politik·Tarif

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Politik·Tarif

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$393,227 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$393,227 Vol.

Polymarket

Mexico

$3,118 Vol.

25%

South Korea

$60,555 Vol.

14%

Indonesia

$19,621 Vol.

14%

Israel

$572 Vol.

14%

Taiwan

$34,245 Vol.

13%

India

$70,846 Vol.

12%

United Kingdom

$592 Vol.

12%

South Africa

$559 Vol.

12%

Canada

$22,822 Vol.

11%

Argentina

$22,669 Vol.

10%

Pakistan

$105,703 Vol.

10%

Australia

$6,287 Vol.

9%

Russia

$2,348 Vol.

8%

European Union

$13,365 Vol.

7%

Brazil

$4,819 Vol.

7%

Japan

$17,780 Vol.

6%

Vietnam

$7,326 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's strategy of imposing or threatening reciprocal and Section 301 tariffs has driven negotiations for Agreements on Reciprocal Trade (ARTs), yielding signed deals in 2026 with partners including Jordan, Ecuador, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Taiwan, and several Central American nations, alongside frameworks or commitments with the EU, Japan, South Korea, and China that expand U.S. agricultural and industrial market access. Recent developments include progress reported in mid-September 2026 on bilateral talks with Mexico amid USMCA review pressures and tariff adjustments, stalled but active Canada negotiations following new Section 338 measures, and continued U.S.-China engagement ahead of a planned summit that could stabilize or expand commitments. Ongoing frameworks with India, Vietnam, Thailand, and Switzerland remain subject to finalization timelines before the end of 2026, with outcomes hinging on tariff concessions, supply-chain rules, and forced-labor provisions. Trader assessments reflect the pace of these bilateral tracks and any late-year breakthroughs or setbacks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$393,227
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's strategy of imposing or threatening reciprocal and Section 301 tariffs has driven negotiations for Agreements on Reciprocal Trade (ARTs), yielding signed deals in 2026 with partners including Jordan, Ecuador, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Taiwan, and several Central American nations, alongside frameworks or commitments with the EU, Japan, South Korea, and China that expand U.S. agricultural and industrial market access. Recent developments include progress reported in mid-September 2026 on bilateral talks with Mexico amid USMCA review pressures and tariff adjustments, stalled but active Canada negotiations following new Section 338 measures, and continued U.S.-China engagement ahead of a planned summit that could stabilize or expand commitments. Ongoing frameworks with India, Vietnam, Thailand, and Switzerland remain subject to finalization timelines before the end of 2026, with outcomes hinging on tariff concessions, supply-chain rules, and forced-labor provisions. Trader assessments reflect the pace of these bilateral tracks and any late-year breakthroughs or setbacks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$393,227
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Terkait

icon for US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%
icon for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%
icon for Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?

Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?

45%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mexico" di 25%, diikuti oleh "South Korea" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 25¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 25% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $393.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" adalah "Mexico" di 25%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 25% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "South Korea" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.