Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith holds a commanding lead in the WA-09 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election, benefiting from substantial fundraising, long tenure representing the area, and the absence of serious primary opposition. Traders’ consensus around 95-96% for a Democratic victory aligns with historical results in this King County-centered seat and the limited viability of an upset without major national realignment or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
$51,337 Vol.
$51,337 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Smith (D)
96%
Doug Basler (R)
2%
$51,337 Vol.
$51,337 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Smith (D)
$11,845 Vol.
96%
Doug Basler (R)
$39,492 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith holds a commanding lead in the WA-09 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election, benefiting from substantial fundraising, long tenure representing the area, and the absence of serious primary opposition. Traders’ consensus around 95-96% for a Democratic victory aligns with historical results in this King County-centered seat and the limited viability of an upset without major national realignment or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$51,337Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith holds a commanding lead in the WA-09 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election, benefiting from substantial fundraising, long tenure representing the area, and the absence of serious primary opposition. Traders’ consensus around 95-96% for a Democratic victory aligns with historical results in this King County-centered seat and the limited viability of an upset without major national realignment or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$51,337Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith holds a commanding lead in the WA-09 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Smith advanced comfortably from the August 2026 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election, benefiting from substantial fundraising, long tenure representing the area, and the absence of serious primary opposition. Traders’ consensus around 95-96% for a Democratic victory aligns with historical results in this King County-centered seat and the limited viability of an upset without major national realignment or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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