Taylor Swift leads the VMA Artist of the Year market at 60.5% implied probability due to her record 30 prior wins and unmatched commercial scale, which traders view as decisive in fan-voted categories. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and announced opening performance on the September 27 broadcast provide strong momentum, yet her market price sits at just 13%. Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, and Bruno Mars trail further at 19% or below, reflecting solid but narrower recent chart and streaming traction compared with Swift’s sustained dominance. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony days away, late social buzz or performance impact could still shift sentiment in this closely watched pop-heavy field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVMA Artist of the Year 2026
VMA Artist of the Year 2026
Taylor Swift 61%
Ariana Grande 19%
Madonna 13%
Sabrina Carpenter 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 27, 2026
Taylor Swift
61%
Ariana Grande
19%
Madonna
13%
Sabrina Carpenter
13%
Bruno Mars
12%
Morgan Wallen
12%
Taylor Swift 61%
Ariana Grande 19%
Madonna 13%
Sabrina Carpenter 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 27, 2026
Taylor Swift
$20 Vol.
61%
Ariana Grande
$1 Vol.
19%
Madonna
$0 Vol.
13%
Sabrina Carpenter
$0 Vol.
13%
Bruno Mars
$1 Vol.
12%
Morgan Wallen
$1 Vol.
12%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift leads the VMA Artist of the Year market at 60.5% implied probability due to her record 30 prior wins and unmatched commercial scale, which traders view as decisive in fan-voted categories. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and announced opening performance on the September 27 broadcast provide strong momentum, yet her market price sits at just 13%. Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, and Bruno Mars trail further at 19% or below, reflecting solid but narrower recent chart and streaming traction compared with Swift’s sustained dominance. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony days away, late social buzz or performance impact could still shift sentiment in this closely watched pop-heavy field.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$23Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift leads the VMA Artist of the Year market at 60.5% implied probability due to her record 30 prior wins and unmatched commercial scale, which traders view as decisive in fan-voted categories. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and announced opening performance on the September 27 broadcast provide strong momentum, yet her market price sits at just 13%. Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, and Bruno Mars trail further at 19% or below, reflecting solid but narrower recent chart and streaming traction compared with Swift’s sustained dominance. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony days away, late social buzz or performance impact could still shift sentiment in this closely watched pop-heavy field.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift leads the VMA Artist of the Year market at 60.5% implied probability due to her record 30 prior wins and unmatched commercial scale, which traders view as decisive in fan-voted categories. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and announced opening performance on the September 27 broadcast provide strong momentum, yet her market price sits at just 13%. Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, and Bruno Mars trail further at 19% or below, reflecting solid but narrower recent chart and streaming traction compared with Swift’s sustained dominance. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony days away, late social buzz or performance impact could still shift sentiment in this closely watched pop-heavy field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan