Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” holds the strongest market position at 30% implied probability among the returning Best Dance nominees, driven by her record 13 overall VMA nods, the short film’s high-profile Tribeca premiere, and extensive recognition across choreography, direction, and visual categories. The tightly bunched field—PinkPantheress + Zara Larsson at 29%, Harry Styles at 24%, Lady Gaga & Doechii at 23.5%, and lower odds for Tate McRae, Slayyyter, and Bebe Rexha & Faithless—reflects a diverse slate of recent dance releases competing in a category absent since 2019. Fan voting, which closes September 25, and the September 27 ceremony remain the decisive swing factors in this closely contested race.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiVMA Best Dance 2026
VMA Best Dance 2026
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 37%
Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress) 29%
Aperture (Harry Styles) 9%
Runway (Lady Gaga and Doechii) 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 27, 2026
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
37%
Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)
29%
Aperture (Harry Styles)
9%
Runway (Lady Gaga and Doechii)
9%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)
6%
Dance... (Slayyyter)
6%
New Religion (Bebe Rexha and Faithless)
3%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 37%
Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress) 29%
Aperture (Harry Styles) 9%
Runway (Lady Gaga and Doechii) 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 27, 2026
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
$306 Vol.
37%
Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)
$20 Vol.
29%
Aperture (Harry Styles)
$0 Vol.
9%
Runway (Lady Gaga and Doechii)
$0 Vol.
9%
Nobody's Girl (Tate McRae)
$0 Vol.
6%
Dance... (Slayyyter)
$0 Vol.
6%
New Religion (Bebe Rexha and Faithless)
$103 Vol.
3%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” holds the strongest market position at 30% implied probability among the returning Best Dance nominees, driven by her record 13 overall VMA nods, the short film’s high-profile Tribeca premiere, and extensive recognition across choreography, direction, and visual categories. The tightly bunched field—PinkPantheress + Zara Larsson at 29%, Harry Styles at 24%, Lady Gaga & Doechii at 23.5%, and lower odds for Tate McRae, Slayyyter, and Bebe Rexha & Faithless—reflects a diverse slate of recent dance releases competing in a category absent since 2019. Fan voting, which closes September 25, and the September 27 ceremony remain the decisive swing factors in this closely contested race.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$429Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” holds the strongest market position at 30% implied probability among the returning Best Dance nominees, driven by her record 13 overall VMA nods, the short film’s high-profile Tribeca premiere, and extensive recognition across choreography, direction, and visual categories. The tightly bunched field—PinkPantheress + Zara Larsson at 29%, Harry Styles at 24%, Lady Gaga & Doechii at 23.5%, and lower odds for Tate McRae, Slayyyter, and Bebe Rexha & Faithless—reflects a diverse slate of recent dance releases competing in a category absent since 2019. Fan voting, which closes September 25, and the September 27 ceremony remain the decisive swing factors in this closely contested race.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Dance when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$429Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” holds the strongest market position at 30% implied probability among the returning Best Dance nominees, driven by her record 13 overall VMA nods, the short film’s high-profile Tribeca premiere, and extensive recognition across choreography, direction, and visual categories. The tightly bunched field—PinkPantheress + Zara Larsson at 29%, Harry Styles at 24%, Lady Gaga & Doechii at 23.5%, and lower odds for Tate McRae, Slayyyter, and Bebe Rexha & Faithless—reflects a diverse slate of recent dance releases competing in a category absent since 2019. Fan voting, which closes September 25, and the September 27 ceremony remain the decisive swing factors in this closely contested race.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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