Recent hot, dry conditions across parts of the southern U.S. have driven localized expansion of exceptional drought (D4) on the U.S. Drought Monitor, with the latest map (data valid September 8, 2026) showing D4 in a small portion of Arkansas—marking the first such designation there since 2012—and roughly 1.5–1.8% of the continental U.S. overall. D4 represents the 0–2nd percentile of dryness relative to historical norms, reflecting severe impacts on water supplies, agriculture, and ecosystems assessed via precipitation deficits, soil moisture, streamflow, and expert input from the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA, and NASA. The next weekly USDM update, expected around September 17, will incorporate observations through mid-September and any short-term rainfall shifts from ongoing weather patterns, which could alter D4 boundaries in drought-prone southern and western regions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 15, 2026

Alabama
3%

Arizona
5%

Arkansas
93%

California
6%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
3%

Florida
4%

Georgia
4%

Idaho
62%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
4%

Iowa
5%

Kansas
7%

Kentucky
4%

Louisiana
4%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
4%

Mississippi
62%

Missouri
7%

Montana
7%

Nebraska
62%

Nevada
62%

New Jersey
3%

New Mexico
95%

North Carolina
62%

North Dakota
4%

Ohio
3%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregon
81%

Pennsylvania
24%

South Carolina
6%

South Dakota
4%

Tennessee
6%

Texas
100%

Utah
61%

Virginia
3%

Washington
5%

West Virginia
2%

Wisconsin
3%

Wyoming
20%
$5,060 Vol.

Alabama
3%

Arizona
5%

Arkansas
93%

California
6%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
3%

Florida
4%

Georgia
4%

Idaho
62%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
4%

Iowa
5%

Kansas
7%

Kentucky
4%

Louisiana
4%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
4%

Mississippi
62%

Missouri
7%

Montana
7%

Nebraska
62%

Nevada
62%

New Jersey
3%

New Mexico
95%

North Carolina
62%

North Dakota
4%

Ohio
3%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregon
81%

Pennsylvania
24%

South Carolina
6%

South Dakota
4%

Tennessee
6%

Texas
100%

Utah
61%

Virginia
3%

Washington
5%

West Virginia
2%

Wisconsin
3%

Wyoming
20%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Sumber Resolusi
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hot, dry conditions across parts of the southern U.S. have driven localized expansion of exceptional drought (D4) on the U.S. Drought Monitor, with the latest map (data valid September 8, 2026) showing D4 in a small portion of Arkansas—marking the first such designation there since 2012—and roughly 1.5–1.8% of the continental U.S. overall. D4 represents the 0–2nd percentile of dryness relative to historical norms, reflecting severe impacts on water supplies, agriculture, and ecosystems assessed via precipitation deficits, soil moisture, streamflow, and expert input from the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA, and NASA. The next weekly USDM update, expected around September 17, will incorporate observations through mid-September and any short-term rainfall shifts from ongoing weather patterns, which could alter D4 boundaries in drought-prone southern and western regions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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