Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 86–87°F at the designated Denver station on September 14, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied outcome for that range. Pre-event forecasts from NOAA anticipated highs near 88–89°F under partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon heating, but actual readings fell just below due to persistent cloud cover and modest wind patterns that suppressed peak temperatures. Historical September averages near 80°F and the absence of strong downslope warming or clear-sky radiative heating reinforced this outcome. Minor measurement revisions or station discrepancies remain the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though official data finalized the result with high confidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on September 14?
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$25,429 Vol.
$25,429 Vol.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$25,429 Vol.
$25,429 Vol.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 86–87°F at the designated Denver station on September 14, aligning precisely with the 100% market-implied outcome for that range. Pre-event forecasts from NOAA anticipated highs near 88–89°F under partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon heating, but actual readings fell just below due to persistent cloud cover and modest wind patterns that suppressed peak temperatures. Historical September averages near 80°F and the absence of strong downslope warming or clear-sky radiative heating reinforced this outcome. Minor measurement revisions or station discrepancies remain the primary scenarios that could shift resolution, though official data finalized the result with high confidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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