With the 2027 Oscars still months away and 2026 films only beginning to screen, the market shows Paul Giamatti holding a narrow lead at 52.5% implied probability amid a crowded field where dozens of contenders sit near 50%. This early clustering reflects limited precursor data, with traders weighing Giamatti’s proven awards track record and potential late-year releases against emerging performances from actors like Michael Fassbender and Miles Teller. Guild nominations, critics’ circles, and festival buzz later this fall will likely sharpen the race, as historical patterns favor frontrunners who accumulate momentum through SAG-AFTRA and other key endorsements.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 53%
Guy Pearce 9%
Miles Teller 7.8%
Sam Rockwell 6.6%
$16,321 Vol.
$16,321 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Paul Giamatti
53%
Guy Pearce
9%
Miles Teller
8%
Sam Rockwell
7%
Robert Pattinson
7%
John Goodman
7%
Michael Fassbender
6%
Edward Norton
5%
Robert De Niro
4%
Riz Ahmed
4%
Steve Buscemi
4%
Jesse Plemons
4%
Jeremy Strong
4%
Tom Holland
4%
Himesh Patel
4%
Daniel Craig
4%
Colman Domingo
3%
Adam Scott
3%
Travis Scott
3%
Charles Melton
3%
Channing Tatum
2%
James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 53%
Guy Pearce 9%
Miles Teller 7.8%
Sam Rockwell 6.6%
$16,321 Vol.
$16,321 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Paul Giamatti
$5,547 Vol.
53%
Guy Pearce
$392 Vol.
9%
Miles Teller
$114 Vol.
8%
Sam Rockwell
$124 Vol.
7%
Robert Pattinson
$7,039 Vol.
7%
John Goodman
$574 Vol.
7%
Michael Fassbender
$89 Vol.
6%
Edward Norton
$157 Vol.
5%
Robert De Niro
$84 Vol.
4%
Riz Ahmed
$126 Vol.
4%
Steve Buscemi
$89 Vol.
4%
Jesse Plemons
$88 Vol.
4%
Jeremy Strong
$84 Vol.
4%
Tom Holland
$234 Vol.
4%
Himesh Patel
$84 Vol.
4%
Daniel Craig
$84 Vol.
4%
Colman Domingo
$224 Vol.
3%
Adam Scott
$121 Vol.
3%
Travis Scott
$289 Vol.
3%
Charles Melton
$500 Vol.
3%
Channing Tatum
$174 Vol.
2%
James Ortiz
$104 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still months away and 2026 films only beginning to screen, the market shows Paul Giamatti holding a narrow lead at 52.5% implied probability amid a crowded field where dozens of contenders sit near 50%. This early clustering reflects limited precursor data, with traders weighing Giamatti’s proven awards track record and potential late-year releases against emerging performances from actors like Michael Fassbender and Miles Teller. Guild nominations, critics’ circles, and festival buzz later this fall will likely sharpen the race, as historical patterns favor frontrunners who accumulate momentum through SAG-AFTRA and other key endorsements.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$16,321Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still months away and 2026 films only beginning to screen, the market shows Paul Giamatti holding a narrow lead at 52.5% implied probability amid a crowded field where dozens of contenders sit near 50%. This early clustering reflects limited precursor data, with traders weighing Giamatti’s proven awards track record and potential late-year releases against emerging performances from actors like Michael Fassbender and Miles Teller. Guild nominations, critics’ circles, and festival buzz later this fall will likely sharpen the race, as historical patterns favor frontrunners who accumulate momentum through SAG-AFTRA and other key endorsements.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,321Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars still months away and 2026 films only beginning to screen, the market shows Paul Giamatti holding a narrow lead at 52.5% implied probability amid a crowded field where dozens of contenders sit near 50%. This early clustering reflects limited precursor data, with traders weighing Giamatti’s proven awards track record and potential late-year releases against emerging performances from actors like Michael Fassbender and Miles Teller. Guild nominations, critics’ circles, and festival buzz later this fall will likely sharpen the race, as historical patterns favor frontrunners who accumulate momentum through SAG-AFTRA and other key endorsements.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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