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icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Matt Damon 27%

John Malkovich 21.8%

Andrew Scott 20%

Tom Cruise 18%

Polymarket

$108,333 Vol.

Matt Damon 27%

John Malkovich 21.8%

Andrew Scott 20%

Tom Cruise 18%

Polymarket

$108,333 Vol.

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$32,442 Vol.

27%

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$6,022 Vol.

22%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$11,952 Vol.

20%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$9,793 Vol.

18%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,254 Vol.

9%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$3,968 Vol.

3%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,627 Vol.

3%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,694 Vol.

3%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,712 Vol.

2%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,839 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,014 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,140 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$2,501 Vol.

1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,041 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,306 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,466 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,516 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stage of the 2026 awards cycle, with most qualifying films still in release or post-production, drives the diffuse trader sentiment across the Oscars 2027 Best Actor field. No single frontrunner has emerged, leaving implied probabilities fragmented among dozens of names. Matt Damon holds the highest share at 26.5%, followed by John Malkovich at 21.9% and Andrew Scott at 20%, reflecting anticipation around their upcoming projects rather than confirmed momentum. Established stars like Tom Cruise sit at 17.5% while newer contenders trail below 4%. Guild nominations, critics' awards, and festival premieres in the coming months will likely consolidate support as voting bodies begin signaling preferences.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,333
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stage of the 2026 awards cycle, with most qualifying films still in release or post-production, drives the diffuse trader sentiment across the Oscars 2027 Best Actor field. No single frontrunner has emerged, leaving implied probabilities fragmented among dozens of names. Matt Damon holds the highest share at 26.5%, followed by John Malkovich at 21.9% and Andrew Scott at 20%, reflecting anticipation around their upcoming projects rather than confirmed momentum. Established stars like Tom Cruise sit at 17.5% while newer contenders trail below 4%. Guild nominations, critics' awards, and festival premieres in the coming months will likely consolidate support as voting bodies begin signaling preferences.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$108,333
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 18 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Matt Damon" di 27%, diikuti oleh "John Malkovich" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 27¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" telah menghasilkan $108.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 28, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner," jelajahi 18 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" adalah "Matt Damon" di 27%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "John Malkovich" di 22%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.