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icon for Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

icon for Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026

Harry Kane 62.5%

Lamine Yamal 16.3%

Kylian Mbappé 10.9%

Rodri 5%

Polymarket

$34,156,615 Vol.

Harry Kane 62.5%

Lamine Yamal 16.3%

Kylian Mbappé 10.9%

Rodri 5%

Polymarket

$34,156,615 Vol.

Harry Kane

$4,078,945 Vol.

63%

Lamine Yamal

$2,206,807 Vol.

16%

Kylian Mbappé

$2,139,575 Vol.

11%

Rodri

$1,527,067 Vol.

5%

Lionel Messi

$2,462,124 Vol.

3%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,504,628 Vol.

3%

Fabian Ruiz

$1,162,509 Vol.

1%

Ousmane Dembélé

$2,212,673 Vol.

1%

Michael Olise

$1,706,371 Vol.

<1%

Erling Haaland

$1,551,917 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,278,826 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$843,279 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,069,433 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$864,656 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$711,222 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$490,016 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$740,083 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$440,734 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$949,675 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market with a 62.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus around his record 61-goal Bundesliga and Champions League campaign for Bayern Munich plus six World Cup goals that helped England reach the semifinals. The shortlist announcement on September 8 reinforced this positioning after Kane's domestic double and consistent big-game contributions. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.3% on the strength of Spain's World Cup triumph, though injuries curtailed his tournament impact, while Kylian Mbappé at 10.9% benefits from individual scoring volume without major team silverware. Rodri's 4.5% share ties to his central role in Spain's collective success, with the remaining field trailing on limited collective achievements or lower recent output.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$34,156,615
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market with a 62.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus around his record 61-goal Bundesliga and Champions League campaign for Bayern Munich plus six World Cup goals that helped England reach the semifinals. The shortlist announcement on September 8 reinforced this positioning after Kane's domestic double and consistent big-game contributions. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.3% on the strength of Spain's World Cup triumph, though injuries curtailed his tournament impact, while Kylian Mbappé at 10.9% benefits from individual scoring volume without major team silverware. Rodri's 4.5% share ties to his central role in Spain's collective success, with the remaining field trailing on limited collective achievements or lower recent output.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$34,156,615
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

63%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

94%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 31 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Harry Kane" di 63%, diikuti oleh "Lamine Yamal" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 63¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" telah menghasilkan $34.2 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 22, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026," jelajahi 31 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" adalah "Harry Kane" di 63%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lamine Yamal" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Ballond'Or 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.