Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her April 2026 special election victory and June primary win. She secured roughly 60% against Joe Hathaway in the special contest to finish Mikie Sherrill’s term and then won renomination by more than 75 points. The suburban district, centered in Morris and parts of Essex and Passaic counties, has trended Democratic in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the seat solid or safe for the party. Hathaway, a Randolph council member, won his primary unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have outperformed recent national averages. Trader consensus reflects these factors, with limited realistic paths for an upset absent major unforeseen developments before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,565 Vol.
$39,565 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
6%
$39,565 Vol.
$39,565 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,591 Vol.
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$15,975 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her April 2026 special election victory and June primary win. She secured roughly 60% against Joe Hathaway in the special contest to finish Mikie Sherrill’s term and then won renomination by more than 75 points. The suburban district, centered in Morris and parts of Essex and Passaic counties, has trended Democratic in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the seat solid or safe for the party. Hathaway, a Randolph council member, won his primary unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have outperformed recent national averages. Trader consensus reflects these factors, with limited realistic paths for an upset absent major unforeseen developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$39,565Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her April 2026 special election victory and June primary win. She secured roughly 60% against Joe Hathaway in the special contest to finish Mikie Sherrill’s term and then won renomination by more than 75 points. The suburban district, centered in Morris and parts of Essex and Passaic counties, has trended Democratic in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the seat solid or safe for the party. Hathaway, a Randolph council member, won his primary unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have outperformed recent national averages. Trader consensus reflects these factors, with limited realistic paths for an upset absent major unforeseen developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,565Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her April 2026 special election victory and June primary win. She secured roughly 60% against Joe Hathaway in the special contest to finish Mikie Sherrill’s term and then won renomination by more than 75 points. The suburban district, centered in Morris and parts of Essex and Passaic counties, has trended Democratic in recent cycles, and forecasters rate the seat solid or safe for the party. Hathaway, a Randolph council member, won his primary unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have outperformed recent national averages. Trader consensus reflects these factors, with limited realistic paths for an upset absent major unforeseen developments before November 3.
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