Scott Wiener leads the market at 65.5% implied probability to win California's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, ahead of Connie Chan at 35.5%. Wiener secured first place in the June 2 top-two primary with 40.7% of the vote to Chan's 29.7%, advancing both Democrats in the solidly Democratic San Francisco seat vacated by Nancy Pelosi. His stronger primary showing, California Democratic Party endorsement, and emphasis on housing production have contributed to trader positioning, while Chan benefits from Pelosi's and Senator Adam Schiff's support plus progressive backing. An October 1 debate and ongoing voter outreach remain scheduled events that could influence final margins in the low-turnout contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
$15,903 Vol.
$15,903 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
66%
Connie Chan
36%
$15,903 Vol.
$15,903 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
$4,148 Vol.
66%
Connie Chan
$11,755 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener leads the market at 65.5% implied probability to win California's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, ahead of Connie Chan at 35.5%. Wiener secured first place in the June 2 top-two primary with 40.7% of the vote to Chan's 29.7%, advancing both Democrats in the solidly Democratic San Francisco seat vacated by Nancy Pelosi. His stronger primary showing, California Democratic Party endorsement, and emphasis on housing production have contributed to trader positioning, while Chan benefits from Pelosi's and Senator Adam Schiff's support plus progressive backing. An October 1 debate and ongoing voter outreach remain scheduled events that could influence final margins in the low-turnout contest.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Volume
$15,903Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener leads the market at 65.5% implied probability to win California's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, ahead of Connie Chan at 35.5%. Wiener secured first place in the June 2 top-two primary with 40.7% of the vote to Chan's 29.7%, advancing both Democrats in the solidly Democratic San Francisco seat vacated by Nancy Pelosi. His stronger primary showing, California Democratic Party endorsement, and emphasis on housing production have contributed to trader positioning, while Chan benefits from Pelosi's and Senator Adam Schiff's support plus progressive backing. An October 1 debate and ongoing voter outreach remain scheduled events that could influence final margins in the low-turnout contest.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,903Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener leads the market at 65.5% implied probability to win California's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, ahead of Connie Chan at 35.5%. Wiener secured first place in the June 2 top-two primary with 40.7% of the vote to Chan's 29.7%, advancing both Democrats in the solidly Democratic San Francisco seat vacated by Nancy Pelosi. His stronger primary showing, California Democratic Party endorsement, and emphasis on housing production have contributed to trader positioning, while Chan benefits from Pelosi's and Senator Adam Schiff's support plus progressive backing. An October 1 debate and ongoing voter outreach remain scheduled events that could influence final margins in the low-turnout contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan