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icon for New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

icon for New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Lee Shu-chuan 74%

Su Chiao-hui 26%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket

$25,936 Vol.

Lee Shu-chuan 74%

Su Chiao-hui 26%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket

$25,936 Vol.

icon for Lee Shu-chuan

Lee Shu-chuan

$10,071 Vol.

74%

icon for Su Chiao-hui

Su Chiao-hui

$14,577 Vol.

26%

icon for Huang Kuo-chang

Huang Kuo-chang

$1,288 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a commanding position in the New Taipei mayoral race ahead of the November 28 vote, reflecting KMT-TPP cooperation after Huang Kuo-chang suspended his bid following an April joint primary loss. Lee, a former Taipei deputy mayor and Executive Yuan secretary-general, benefits from administrative experience and unified pan-blue backing in Taiwan’s most populous locality. Recent polling, including an AI simulation showing him ahead of DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui by roughly six points and street surveys in traditionally green districts indicating a narrow edge, has reinforced this lead. Su, an incumbent legislator and daughter of former premier Su Tseng-chang, maintains competitiveness through local recognition and targeted outreach on issues like motorcycle industry upgrades, though she trails in most head-to-head measures. An independent candidate registers negligible support. The race remains open to shifts from turnout, late campaign events, or municipal policy contrasts, consistent with the city’s historically competitive electoral math.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$25,936
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a commanding position in the New Taipei mayoral race ahead of the November 28 vote, reflecting KMT-TPP cooperation after Huang Kuo-chang suspended his bid following an April joint primary loss. Lee, a former Taipei deputy mayor and Executive Yuan secretary-general, benefits from administrative experience and unified pan-blue backing in Taiwan’s most populous locality. Recent polling, including an AI simulation showing him ahead of DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui by roughly six points and street surveys in traditionally green districts indicating a narrow edge, has reinforced this lead. Su, an incumbent legislator and daughter of former premier Su Tseng-chang, maintains competitiveness through local recognition and targeted outreach on issues like motorcycle industry upgrades, though she trails in most head-to-head measures. An independent candidate registers negligible support. The race remains open to shifts from turnout, late campaign events, or municipal policy contrasts, consistent with the city’s historically competitive electoral math.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$25,936
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"New Taipei Mayor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Lee Shu-chuan" di 74%, diikuti oleh "Su Chiao-hui" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 74¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 74% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "New Taipei Mayor Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $25.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 14, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "New Taipei Mayor Election Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "New Taipei Mayor Election Winner" adalah "Lee Shu-chuan" di 74%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 74% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Su Chiao-hui" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "New Taipei Mayor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.