United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Kirov Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its incumbency advantage, control of 24 of the prior 40 seats, and the mixed electoral system allocating 15 seats via party-list proportional representation and 30 via single-mandate districts. The vote coincides with the national State Duma election on the same three-day schedule ending September 20, 2026, where the party benefits from established regional structures and limited competition among registered systemic opposition groups. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors, with other parties such as CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, and New People holding minimal implied probabilities. A shift would require coordinated gains across multiple single-mandate districts or an exceptional party-list surge exceeding historical patterns, though one constituency's postponement to 2027 due to a ballot error introduces minor procedural uncertainty without altering the overall seat allocation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUnited Russia 95.6%
Communists of Russia 1.1%
A Just Russia <1%
New People <1%
$12,815 Vol.
$12,815 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
96%
Communists of Russia
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
CPRF
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
United Russia 95.6%
Communists of Russia 1.1%
A Just Russia <1%
New People <1%
$12,815 Vol.
$12,815 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$8,768 Vol.
96%
Communists of Russia
$610 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$739 Vol.
<1%
New People
$733 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$656 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$659 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$650 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kirov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kirov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Kirov Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its incumbency advantage, control of 24 of the prior 40 seats, and the mixed electoral system allocating 15 seats via party-list proportional representation and 30 via single-mandate districts. The vote coincides with the national State Duma election on the same three-day schedule ending September 20, 2026, where the party benefits from established regional structures and limited competition among registered systemic opposition groups. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors, with other parties such as CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, and New People holding minimal implied probabilities. A shift would require coordinated gains across multiple single-mandate districts or an exceptional party-list surge exceeding historical patterns, though one constituency's postponement to 2027 due to a ballot error introduces minor procedural uncertainty without altering the overall seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kirov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kirov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kirov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kirov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volume
$12,815Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kirov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kirov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Kirov Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its incumbency advantage, control of 24 of the prior 40 seats, and the mixed electoral system allocating 15 seats via party-list proportional representation and 30 via single-mandate districts. The vote coincides with the national State Duma election on the same three-day schedule ending September 20, 2026, where the party benefits from established regional structures and limited competition among registered systemic opposition groups. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors, with other parties such as CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, and New People holding minimal implied probabilities. A shift would require coordinated gains across multiple single-mandate districts or an exceptional party-list surge exceeding historical patterns, though one constituency's postponement to 2027 due to a ballot error introduces minor procedural uncertainty without altering the overall seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kirov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kirov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kirov Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kirov Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kirov Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$12,815Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Kirov Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its incumbency advantage, control of 24 of the prior 40 seats, and the mixed electoral system allocating 15 seats via party-list proportional representation and 30 via single-mandate districts. The vote coincides with the national State Duma election on the same three-day schedule ending September 20, 2026, where the party benefits from established regional structures and limited competition among registered systemic opposition groups. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors, with other parties such as CPRF, A Just Russia, LDPR, and New People holding minimal implied probabilities. A shift would require coordinated gains across multiple single-mandate districts or an exceptional party-list surge exceeding historical patterns, though one constituency's postponement to 2027 due to a ballot error introduces minor procedural uncertainty without altering the overall seat allocation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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