New People, a systemic opposition party focused on business-friendly policies and moderate patriotism, faces structural constraints in Russia's mixed electoral system that anchor trader expectations well below 35 Duma seats. Pre-election surveys from VTsIOM and FOM placed its party-list support in the 8–12% range, with early September 2026 returns showing roughly 8% nationally after United Russia secured over 57%. This share projects around 18 proportional seats, supplemented by limited single-mandate prospects amid United Russia's dominance in most districts. Yabloko's exclusion and the party's alignment with Kremlin foreign policy positions channeled some protest votes its way, yet administrative and institutional factors cap upside. A stronger-than-forecast performance in electronic voting or unexpected constituency wins could lift totals modestly, though historical patterns and current tallies make crossing 35 seats highly improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<35 95.9%
35–44 2.1%
85+ 2.1%
65–74 <1%
$129,855 Vol.
$129,855 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<35
96%
35–44
2%
45–54
1%
55–64
1%
65–74
1%
75–84
<1%
85+
2%
<35 95.9%
35–44 2.1%
85+ 2.1%
65–74 <1%
$129,855 Vol.
$129,855 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<35
$33,581 Vol.
96%
35–44
$27,689 Vol.
2%
45–54
$18,245 Vol.
1%
55–64
$14,040 Vol.
1%
65–74
$13,552 Vol.
1%
75–84
$9,273 Vol.
<1%
85+
$13,475 Vol.
2%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a systemic opposition party focused on business-friendly policies and moderate patriotism, faces structural constraints in Russia's mixed electoral system that anchor trader expectations well below 35 Duma seats. Pre-election surveys from VTsIOM and FOM placed its party-list support in the 8–12% range, with early September 2026 returns showing roughly 8% nationally after United Russia secured over 57%. This share projects around 18 proportional seats, supplemented by limited single-mandate prospects amid United Russia's dominance in most districts. Yabloko's exclusion and the party's alignment with Kremlin foreign policy positions channeled some protest votes its way, yet administrative and institutional factors cap upside. A stronger-than-forecast performance in electronic voting or unexpected constituency wins could lift totals modestly, though historical patterns and current tallies make crossing 35 seats highly improbable.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$129,855Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a systemic opposition party focused on business-friendly policies and moderate patriotism, faces structural constraints in Russia's mixed electoral system that anchor trader expectations well below 35 Duma seats. Pre-election surveys from VTsIOM and FOM placed its party-list support in the 8–12% range, with early September 2026 returns showing roughly 8% nationally after United Russia secured over 57%. This share projects around 18 proportional seats, supplemented by limited single-mandate prospects amid United Russia's dominance in most districts. Yabloko's exclusion and the party's alignment with Kremlin foreign policy positions channeled some protest votes its way, yet administrative and institutional factors cap upside. A stronger-than-forecast performance in electronic voting or unexpected constituency wins could lift totals modestly, though historical patterns and current tallies make crossing 35 seats highly improbable.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$129,855Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New People, a systemic opposition party focused on business-friendly policies and moderate patriotism, faces structural constraints in Russia's mixed electoral system that anchor trader expectations well below 35 Duma seats. Pre-election surveys from VTsIOM and FOM placed its party-list support in the 8–12% range, with early September 2026 returns showing roughly 8% nationally after United Russia secured over 57%. This share projects around 18 proportional seats, supplemented by limited single-mandate prospects amid United Russia's dominance in most districts. Yabloko's exclusion and the party's alignment with Kremlin foreign policy positions channeled some protest votes its way, yet administrative and institutional factors cap upside. A stronger-than-forecast performance in electronic voting or unexpected constituency wins could lift totals modestly, though historical patterns and current tallies make crossing 35 seats highly improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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