The 2026 gubernatorial elections involve 36 races evenly divided between the parties, with Republicans defending their current 26 seats against 18 Democratic-held positions. Trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors reflects competitive dynamics in multiple open-seat contests and toss-ups, including Democratic defenses in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania alongside Republican-held races in Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, and Alaska. National midterm pressures, including economic concerns and turnout patterns, combine with state-specific factors such as term limits on nine Republican incumbents and local issues like water quality to create volatility. Recent rating shifts toward Democrats in several battlegrounds underscore the potential for modest net losses, while Republican opportunities in Kansas and elsewhere limit downside scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBerapa banyak Gubernur Republik setelah pemilihan paruh waktu 2026?
22–23 35%
24–25 24%
<22 21%
26–27 17%
$696,179 Vol.
$696,179 Vol.
<22
21%
22–23
35%
24–25
24%
26–27
17%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
22–23 35%
24–25 24%
<22 21%
26–27 17%
$696,179 Vol.
$696,179 Vol.
<22
21%
22–23
35%
24–25
24%
26–27
17%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 gubernatorial elections involve 36 races evenly divided between the parties, with Republicans defending their current 26 seats against 18 Democratic-held positions. Trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors reflects competitive dynamics in multiple open-seat contests and toss-ups, including Democratic defenses in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania alongside Republican-held races in Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, and Alaska. National midterm pressures, including economic concerns and turnout patterns, combine with state-specific factors such as term limits on nine Republican incumbents and local issues like water quality to create volatility. Recent rating shifts toward Democrats in several battlegrounds underscore the potential for modest net losses, while Republican opportunities in Kansas and elsewhere limit downside scenarios.
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