Forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a peak temperature of 15°C in Wellington on September 21 under a strong northerly flow, with clear to partly cloudy conditions and gusty winds supporting daytime warming to that level. Current observations near midday hover around 13–14°C, aligning with model consensus for a maximum in the mid-teens Celsius amid typical spring climatology for the region. The market's near-certain positioning on 15°C reflects this tight alignment of official guidance and real-time data. A realistic shift could occur only if an earlier southerly change or increased cloud cover suppresses the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely based on the latest model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
15°C 99.4%
16°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
BARU
$35,695 Vol.
BARU
$35,695 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.4%
16°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
BARU
$35,695 Vol.
BARU
$35,695 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$987 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$705 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,193 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5,756 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10,625 Vol.
99%
16°C
$6,596 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5,331 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$462 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a peak temperature of 15°C in Wellington on September 21 under a strong northerly flow, with clear to partly cloudy conditions and gusty winds supporting daytime warming to that level. Current observations near midday hover around 13–14°C, aligning with model consensus for a maximum in the mid-teens Celsius amid typical spring climatology for the region. The market's near-certain positioning on 15°C reflects this tight alignment of official guidance and real-time data. A realistic shift could occur only if an earlier southerly change or increased cloud cover suppresses the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$35,695Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a peak temperature of 15°C in Wellington on September 21 under a strong northerly flow, with clear to partly cloudy conditions and gusty winds supporting daytime warming to that level. Current observations near midday hover around 13–14°C, aligning with model consensus for a maximum in the mid-teens Celsius amid typical spring climatology for the region. The market's near-certain positioning on 15°C reflects this tight alignment of official guidance and real-time data. A realistic shift could occur only if an earlier southerly change or increased cloud cover suppresses the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,695Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a peak temperature of 15°C in Wellington on September 21 under a strong northerly flow, with clear to partly cloudy conditions and gusty winds supporting daytime warming to that level. Current observations near midday hover around 13–14°C, aligning with model consensus for a maximum in the mid-teens Celsius amid typical spring climatology for the region. The market's near-certain positioning on 15°C reflects this tight alignment of official guidance and real-time data. A realistic shift could occur only if an earlier southerly change or increased cloud cover suppresses the peak by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely based on the latest model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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