The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 14?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,004 Vol.
$74,004 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,004 Vol.
$74,004 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$2,607 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,820 Vol.
No
24°C
$140 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,025 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,954 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,346 Vol.
No
28°C
$34,488 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,646 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$3,991 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,422 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,566 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$74,004Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$74,004Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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