Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high in Madrid of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, which enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 28°C (51%) over 27°C (29.5%) or 29°C (17.5%), reflecting consensus on modest moderation from earlier September peaks above 34°C. Surface pressure near 1018 hPa and low humidity support stable conditions without significant convective development, while the seasonal decline toward the 26.4°C climatological average for the date reinforces the narrow probability band. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine the final maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
28°C 51%
27°C 31%
29°C 17%
26°C or below 5.5%
$37,902 Vol.
$37,902 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
26°C or below
5%
27°C
31%
28°C
51%
29°C
17%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 31%
29°C 17%
26°C or below 5.5%
$37,902 Vol.
$37,902 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
26°C or below
$3,586 Vol.
5%
27°C
$4,629 Vol.
31%
28°C
$6,883 Vol.
51%
29°C
$7,863 Vol.
17%
30°C
$7,005 Vol.
2%
31°C
$3,745 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,709 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,719 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high in Madrid of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, which enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 28°C (51%) over 27°C (29.5%) or 29°C (17.5%), reflecting consensus on modest moderation from earlier September peaks above 34°C. Surface pressure near 1018 hPa and low humidity support stable conditions without significant convective development, while the seasonal decline toward the 26.4°C climatological average for the date reinforces the narrow probability band. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$37,902Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high in Madrid of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, which enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 28°C (51%) over 27°C (29.5%) or 29°C (17.5%), reflecting consensus on modest moderation from earlier September peaks above 34°C. Surface pressure near 1018 hPa and low humidity support stable conditions without significant convective development, while the seasonal decline toward the 26.4°C climatological average for the date reinforces the narrow probability band. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,902Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high in Madrid of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, which enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 28°C (51%) over 27°C (29.5%) or 29°C (17.5%), reflecting consensus on modest moderation from earlier September peaks above 34°C. Surface pressure near 1018 hPa and low humidity support stable conditions without significant convective development, while the seasonal decline toward the 26.4°C climatological average for the date reinforces the narrow probability band. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine the final maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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