**Trader consensus has settled at 100% on the 98-99°F bin** because official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations (including Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) recorded a daily maximum temperature squarely in that range on September 16, 2026. Multiple automated and manual reports list the high as 98°F or 99°F under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and dew points that supported efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress it. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology for central Texas, where persistent high pressure and southerly flow routinely push September maxima into the mid-to-upper 90s. The only realistic challenge would be a post-analysis revision by the NWS that shifts the official reading outside the bin—an extremely rare occurrence once preliminary data are confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on September 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 16?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$30,664 Vol.
$30,664 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$30,664 Vol.
$30,664 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
89°F or below
$1,194 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$1,444 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$1,659 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$1,187 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$4,886 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$5,365 Vol.
Yes
100-101°F
$8,353 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$4,355 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$1,321 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$686 Vol.
No
108°F or higher
$214 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has settled at 100% on the 98-99°F bin** because official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations (including Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) recorded a daily maximum temperature squarely in that range on September 16, 2026. Multiple automated and manual reports list the high as 98°F or 99°F under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and dew points that supported efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress it.
This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology for central Texas, where persistent high pressure and southerly flow routinely push September maxima into the mid-to-upper 90s. The only realistic challenge would be a post-analysis revision by the NWS that shifts the official reading outside the bin—an extremely rare occurrence once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$30,664Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has settled at 100% on the 98-99°F bin** because official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations (including Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) recorded a daily maximum temperature squarely in that range on September 16, 2026. Multiple automated and manual reports list the high as 98°F or 99°F under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and dew points that supported efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress it.
This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology for central Texas, where persistent high pressure and southerly flow routinely push September maxima into the mid-to-upper 90s. The only realistic challenge would be a post-analysis revision by the NWS that shifts the official reading outside the bin—an extremely rare occurrence once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,664Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus has settled at 100% on the 98-99°F bin** because official National Weather Service observations from Austin-area stations (including Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) recorded a daily maximum temperature squarely in that range on September 16, 2026. Multiple automated and manual reports list the high as 98°F or 99°F under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and dew points that supported efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress it. This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology for central Texas, where persistent high pressure and southerly flow routinely push September maxima into the mid-to-upper 90s. The only realistic challenge would be a post-analysis revision by the NWS that shifts the official reading outside the bin—an extremely rare occurrence once preliminary data are confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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