**Trader consensus has converged on 31°C as the day's maximum temperature in Ankara, backed by real-time meteorological observations confirming a peak of 31°C during afternoon hours.** Under clear skies and light westerly winds, surface temperatures rose steadily from morning lows near 16°C, reaching this value around 14:00–16:00 local time according to multiple station reports and model outputs. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where high pressure promotes dry, sunny conditions and modest diurnal warming. With the day nearly complete and no further significant heating expected overnight, the market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification against official Turkish meteorological data. Only an unlikely post-hoc revision to station readings or measurement criteria could alter the outcome at this stage.