The December 6, 2026, legislative election occurs under the new constitution approved in the August 30 referendum, which expanded presidential authority, reduced assembly seats from 102 to 65, and consolidated constituencies. Trader odds remain fragmented because the proportional system favors multiple coalitions and smaller lists in a post-coup transition environment, with no dominant force emerging after the 2025 results were annulled. Recent junta measures, including the order for parties to relocate offices away from state institutions, add pressure on opposition groups and shape positioning ahead of the vote. Key factors that could widen leads include confirmed candidate lists, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, and any further institutional or diplomatic signals on the transition timeline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
FREPASNA 39.9%
PT 10.8%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 7.0%
FLING 4.2%
$159,968 Vol.
$159,968 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
20%
PT
11%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
29%
FLING
4%
PS
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA 39.9%
PT 10.8%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 7.0%
FLING 4.2%
$159,968 Vol.
$159,968 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
$26,786 Vol.
20%
PT
$22,046 Vol.
11%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$48,823 Vol.
29%
FLING
$13,132 Vol.
4%
PS
$26,296 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The December 6, 2026, legislative election occurs under the new constitution approved in the August 30 referendum, which expanded presidential authority, reduced assembly seats from 102 to 65, and consolidated constituencies. Trader odds remain fragmented because the proportional system favors multiple coalitions and smaller lists in a post-coup transition environment, with no dominant force emerging after the 2025 results were annulled. Recent junta measures, including the order for parties to relocate offices away from state institutions, add pressure on opposition groups and shape positioning ahead of the vote. Key factors that could widen leads include confirmed candidate lists, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, and any further institutional or diplomatic signals on the transition timeline.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$159,968Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 23, 2025Pasar Dibuka
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The December 6, 2026, legislative election occurs under the new constitution approved in the August 30 referendum, which expanded presidential authority, reduced assembly seats from 102 to 65, and consolidated constituencies. Trader odds remain fragmented because the proportional system favors multiple coalitions and smaller lists in a post-coup transition environment, with no dominant force emerging after the 2025 results were annulled. Recent junta measures, including the order for parties to relocate offices away from state institutions, add pressure on opposition groups and shape positioning ahead of the vote. Key factors that could widen leads include confirmed candidate lists, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, and any further institutional or diplomatic signals on the transition timeline.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$159,968Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 23, 2025Pasar Dibuka
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The December 6, 2026, legislative election occurs under the new constitution approved in the August 30 referendum, which expanded presidential authority, reduced assembly seats from 102 to 65, and consolidated constituencies. Trader odds remain fragmented because the proportional system favors multiple coalitions and smaller lists in a post-coup transition environment, with no dominant force emerging after the 2025 results were annulled. Recent junta measures, including the order for parties to relocate offices away from state institutions, add pressure on opposition groups and shape positioning ahead of the vote. Key factors that could widen leads include confirmed candidate lists, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, and any further institutional or diplomatic signals on the transition timeline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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