Byron Donalds holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Florida governor race due to the state's entrenched Republican structural advantages, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and no Democratic gubernatorial win since 1994. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with 47.8% of the vote after early endorsements from Donald Trump and later Ron DeSantis, then maintained a dominant fundraising position with over $41 million cash on hand as of early September. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one September survey giving Democrat David Jolly a narrow 47-44% lead among likely voters, yet broader aggregates and forecasting models continue to favor the Republican by several points. Donalds has focused recent advertising on affordability and critiques of Jolly's proposed state insurance fund, while law enforcement groups have added endorsements ahead of the November 3 election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$62,445 Vol.
$62,445 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
82%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$62,445 Vol.
$62,445 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$29,145 Vol.
82%
David Jolly (D)
$33,301 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Florida governor race due to the state's entrenched Republican structural advantages, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and no Democratic gubernatorial win since 1994. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with 47.8% of the vote after early endorsements from Donald Trump and later Ron DeSantis, then maintained a dominant fundraising position with over $41 million cash on hand as of early September. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one September survey giving Democrat David Jolly a narrow 47-44% lead among likely voters, yet broader aggregates and forecasting models continue to favor the Republican by several points. Donalds has focused recent advertising on affordability and critiques of Jolly's proposed state insurance fund, while law enforcement groups have added endorsements ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$62,445Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Florida governor race due to the state's entrenched Republican structural advantages, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and no Democratic gubernatorial win since 1994. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with 47.8% of the vote after early endorsements from Donald Trump and later Ron DeSantis, then maintained a dominant fundraising position with over $41 million cash on hand as of early September. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one September survey giving Democrat David Jolly a narrow 47-44% lead among likely voters, yet broader aggregates and forecasting models continue to favor the Republican by several points. Donalds has focused recent advertising on affordability and critiques of Jolly's proposed state insurance fund, while law enforcement groups have added endorsements ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$62,445Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Florida governor race due to the state's entrenched Republican structural advantages, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and no Democratic gubernatorial win since 1994. Donalds secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with 47.8% of the vote after early endorsements from Donald Trump and later Ron DeSantis, then maintained a dominant fundraising position with over $41 million cash on hand as of early September. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one September survey giving Democrat David Jolly a narrow 47-44% lead among likely voters, yet broader aggregates and forecasting models continue to favor the Republican by several points. Donalds has focused recent advertising on affordability and critiques of Jolly's proposed state insurance fund, while law enforcement groups have added endorsements ahead of the November 3 election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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