Katie Hobbs holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting her consistent polling lead of roughly seven points, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million compared to Andy Biggs’ roughly $3 million, and heavy early advertising advantage. Biggs, the Republican nominee who secured his party’s nod with 73.6% in the July primary, trails in aggregates and only recently launched a limited television ad campaign. Hobbs’ selection of former Republican mayor John Giles as running mate has supported crossover appeal among independents, while recent contrasts on border security and scrutiny over a state investigation into campaign donations have not materially shifted the polling or market positioning ahead of early voting in October.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiArizona Governor Election Winner
Arizona Governor Election Winner
$68,870 Vol.
$68,870 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
87%
Andy Biggs (R)
13%
$68,870 Vol.
$68,870 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$32,163 Vol.
87%
Andy Biggs (R)
$36,708 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting her consistent polling lead of roughly seven points, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million compared to Andy Biggs’ roughly $3 million, and heavy early advertising advantage. Biggs, the Republican nominee who secured his party’s nod with 73.6% in the July primary, trails in aggregates and only recently launched a limited television ad campaign. Hobbs’ selection of former Republican mayor John Giles as running mate has supported crossover appeal among independents, while recent contrasts on border security and scrutiny over a state investigation into campaign donations have not materially shifted the polling or market positioning ahead of early voting in October.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$68,870Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting her consistent polling lead of roughly seven points, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million compared to Andy Biggs’ roughly $3 million, and heavy early advertising advantage. Biggs, the Republican nominee who secured his party’s nod with 73.6% in the July primary, trails in aggregates and only recently launched a limited television ad campaign. Hobbs’ selection of former Republican mayor John Giles as running mate has supported crossover appeal among independents, while recent contrasts on border security and scrutiny over a state investigation into campaign donations have not materially shifted the polling or market positioning ahead of early voting in October.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,870Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Katie Hobbs holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting her consistent polling lead of roughly seven points, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million compared to Andy Biggs’ roughly $3 million, and heavy early advertising advantage. Biggs, the Republican nominee who secured his party’s nod with 73.6% in the July primary, trails in aggregates and only recently launched a limited television ad campaign. Hobbs’ selection of former Republican mayor John Giles as running mate has supported crossover appeal among independents, while recent contrasts on border security and scrutiny over a state investigation into campaign donations have not materially shifted the polling or market positioning ahead of early voting in October.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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