The extremely short 10-day window to September 30, 2026, combined with the absence of active congressional removal proceedings, resignation signals, or acute health or legal crises, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against Trump leaving office by that date. Impeachment and Senate conviction require extended legislative steps with no current House action or bipartisan momentum, while voluntary departure lacks precedent or reported pressure. Historical patterns of presidential transitions show such rapid exits are rare absent sudden, verifiable triggers. Even late-breaking developments would face procedural and institutional barriers that make resolution within the timeframe improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui<1% peluang
$1,324,522 Vol.
$1,324,522 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<1% peluang
$1,324,522 Vol.
$1,324,522 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The extremely short 10-day window to September 30, 2026, combined with the absence of active congressional removal proceedings, resignation signals, or acute health or legal crises, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against Trump leaving office by that date. Impeachment and Senate conviction require extended legislative steps with no current House action or bipartisan momentum, while voluntary departure lacks precedent or reported pressure. Historical patterns of presidential transitions show such rapid exits are rare absent sudden, verifiable triggers. Even late-breaking developments would face procedural and institutional barriers that make resolution within the timeframe improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,324,522Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The extremely short 10-day window to September 30, 2026, combined with the absence of active congressional removal proceedings, resignation signals, or acute health or legal crises, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against Trump leaving office by that date. Impeachment and Senate conviction require extended legislative steps with no current House action or bipartisan momentum, while voluntary departure lacks precedent or reported pressure. Historical patterns of presidential transitions show such rapid exits are rare absent sudden, verifiable triggers. Even late-breaking developments would face procedural and institutional barriers that make resolution within the timeframe improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,324,522Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The extremely short 10-day window to September 30, 2026, combined with the absence of active congressional removal proceedings, resignation signals, or acute health or legal crises, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against Trump leaving office by that date. Impeachment and Senate conviction require extended legislative steps with no current House action or bipartisan momentum, while voluntary departure lacks precedent or reported pressure. Historical patterns of presidential transitions show such rapid exits are rare absent sudden, verifiable triggers. Even late-breaking developments would face procedural and institutional barriers that make resolution within the timeframe improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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