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icon for 2nd largest private company end of September?
Keuangan·OpenAI

2nd largest private company end of September?

icon for 2nd largest private company end of September?
Keuangan·OpenAI

2nd largest private company end of September?

Oct 1

Oct 1

OpenAI 92%

Neuralink 32.9%

Databricks 26.2%

Stripe 15.6%

Polymarket
BARU

OpenAI 92%

Neuralink 32.9%

Databricks 26.2%

Stripe 15.6%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$289 Vol.

92%

icon for Neuralink

Neuralink

$49 Vol.

33%

icon for Databricks

Databricks

$49 Vol.

26%

icon for Stripe

Stripe

$49 Vol.

16%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$49 Vol.

15%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$49 Vol.

14%

icon for Revolut

Revolut

$100 Vol.

11%

icon for Perplexity

Perplexity

$100 Vol.

6%

icon for Canva

Canva

$81 Vol.

5%

icon for Anduril

Anduril

$49 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on September 30, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data. The resolution sources for this market are: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0.OpenAI holds overwhelming trader consensus as the second-largest private company by valuation at month-end due to its $852 billion post-money mark from the record $122 billion March 2026 round, reaffirmed by an August employee tender at the same level. This places it well ahead of ByteDance and others amid rapid revenue growth from ChatGPT and enterprise large language model usage, plus major commitments from Microsoft, Amazon, and NVIDIA. With only weeks remaining, the positioning rests on stable secondary pricing and the absence of comparable late-stage raises. A surprise new funding round or secondary mark for a rival like Anthropic or Databricks could still shift the outcome before September closes.

This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on September 30, 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.

If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.

If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.

If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.

If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.

If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.

If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0.This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on September 30, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data. The resolution sources for this market are: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0.
Volume
$864
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 7:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on September 30, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data. The resolution sources for this market are: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0.OpenAI holds overwhelming trader consensus as the second-largest private company by valuation at month-end due to its $852 billion post-money mark from the record $122 billion March 2026 round, reaffirmed by an August employee tender at the same level. This places it well ahead of ByteDance and others amid rapid revenue growth from ChatGPT and enterprise large language model usage, plus major commitments from Microsoft, Amazon, and NVIDIA. With only weeks remaining, the positioning rests on stable secondary pricing and the absence of comparable late-stage raises. A surprise new funding round or secondary mark for a rival like Anthropic or Databricks could still shift the outcome before September closes.

This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on September 30, 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.

If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.

If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.

If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only.

If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.

If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.

If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

The resolution sources for this market are:
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0.This market will resolve to the listed company with the second largest private market valuation on September 30, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve based on its final NPM valuation published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, as this market is based on private market valuations only. If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. If two or more companies are tied for the second highest valuation, the markets will resolve in favor of the company that achieved that valuation first. If the valuations were achieved on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data. The resolution sources for this market are: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-c62b8140-fdeb-428d-a9a6-d04eb3b24b49 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-f364d2ab-34b7-48c9-a2b7-af62da804953 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-5e0e75a3-96d6-4893-8f23-9d9bac0ec1db https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-782c0a32-4727-4097-a40b-9a2602f243e7 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186 https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-6edded11-6786-4392-9695-3cce6fda0de0.
Volume
$864
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 7:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

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OpenAI

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"2nd largest private company end of September?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "OpenAI" di 92%, diikuti oleh "Neuralink" di 33%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 92¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 92% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"2nd largest private company end of September?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "2nd largest private company end of September?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "2nd largest private company end of September?" adalah "OpenAI" di 92%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 92% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Neuralink" di 33%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "2nd largest private company end of September?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.