Québec solidaire maintains a strong position in several Montreal ridings and other urban centers ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 consistently placing the party in 3–12 seats. Incumbent MNAs in ridings including Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques benefit from established voter bases and local organization, while recent polls show the party holding steady near 9–11% support. This concentration of support under the first-past-the-post system underpins trader consensus on at least one seat. Late-campaign developments that could still alter the outcome include sharp shifts in turnout among younger or urban voters, unforeseen candidate-specific issues, or broader realignment toward other parties in QS-leaning districts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
98% संभावना
नया
नया
31 जन, 2027
हाँ
98% संभावना
नया
नया
31 जन, 2027
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec solidaire maintains a strong position in several Montreal ridings and other urban centers ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 consistently placing the party in 3–12 seats. Incumbent MNAs in ridings including Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques benefit from established voter bases and local organization, while recent polls show the party holding steady near 9–11% support. This concentration of support under the first-past-the-post system underpins trader consensus on at least one seat. Late-campaign developments that could still alter the outcome include sharp shifts in turnout among younger or urban voters, unforeseen candidate-specific issues, or broader realignment toward other parties in QS-leaning districts.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$673समाप्ति तिथि
1 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec solidaire maintains a strong position in several Montreal ridings and other urban centers ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 consistently placing the party in 3–12 seats. Incumbent MNAs in ridings including Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques benefit from established voter bases and local organization, while recent polls show the party holding steady near 9–11% support. This concentration of support under the first-past-the-post system underpins trader consensus on at least one seat. Late-campaign developments that could still alter the outcome include sharp shifts in turnout among younger or urban voters, unforeseen candidate-specific issues, or broader realignment toward other parties in QS-leaning districts.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$673समाप्ति तिथि
1 फ़र, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Québec solidaire maintains a strong position in several Montreal ridings and other urban centers ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Qc125 consistently placing the party in 3–12 seats. Incumbent MNAs in ridings including Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques benefit from established voter bases and local organization, while recent polls show the party holding steady near 9–11% support. This concentration of support under the first-past-the-post system underpins trader consensus on at least one seat. Late-campaign developments that could still alter the outcome include sharp shifts in turnout among younger or urban voters, unforeseen candidate-specific issues, or broader realignment toward other parties in QS-leaning districts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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