क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?
$950,939 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
9 सितंबर
$52,450 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10 सितंबर
$55,206 वॉल्यूम
1%
15 सितंबर
$67,382 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30 सितंबर
$90,526 वॉल्यूम
1%
31 अक्टूबर
$69,612 वॉल्यूम
99%
31 दिसंबर
$615,768 वॉल्यूम
99%
$950,939 वॉल्यूम
9 सितंबर
$52,450 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10 सितंबर
$55,206 वॉल्यूम
1%
15 सितंबर
$67,382 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30 सितंबर
$90,526 वॉल्यूम
1%
31 अक्टूबर
$69,612 वॉल्यूम
99%
31 दिसंबर
$615,768 वॉल्यूम
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo at its fall event serves as the primary driver behind current trader sentiment. The book-style foldable, with a 7.6-inch inner display and starting price of $1,999, is scheduled for pre-order on October 16 and availability on October 23, positioning it as a direct response to Samsung and Google models. New CEO John Ternus highlighted improvements in screen crease reduction, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, reflecting years of internal development accelerated under former leadership. This official confirmation and near-term launch window have solidified market-implied odds, though supply constraints or last-minute adjustments remain theoretical risks ahead of the October rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo at its fall event serves as the primary driver behind current trader sentiment. The book-style foldable, with a 7.6-inch inner display and starting price of $1,999, is scheduled for pre-order on October 16 and availability on October 23, positioning it as a direct response to Samsung and Google models. New CEO John Ternus highlighted improvements in screen crease reduction, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, reflecting years of internal development accelerated under former leadership. This official confirmation and near-term launch window have solidified market-implied odds, though supply constraints or last-minute adjustments remain theoretical risks ahead of the October rollout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo at its fall event serves as the primary driver behind current trader sentiment. The book-style foldable, with a 7.6-inch inner display and starting price of $1,999, is scheduled for pre-order on October 16 and availability on October 23, positioning it as a direct response to Samsung and Google models. New CEO John Ternus highlighted improvements in screen crease reduction, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, reflecting years of internal development accelerated under former leadership. This official confirmation and near-term launch window have solidified market-implied odds, though supply constraints or last-minute adjustments remain theoretical risks ahead of the October rollout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple’s September 9, 2026 announcement of the iPhone Duo at its fall event serves as the primary driver behind current trader sentiment. The book-style foldable, with a 7.6-inch inner display and starting price of $1,999, is scheduled for pre-order on October 16 and availability on October 23, positioning it as a direct response to Samsung and Google models. New CEO John Ternus highlighted improvements in screen crease reduction, titanium build, and Apple Pencil support, reflecting years of internal development accelerated under former leadership. This official confirmation and near-term launch window have solidified market-implied odds, though supply constraints or last-minute adjustments remain theoretical risks ahead of the October rollout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
"क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" Polymarket पर 6 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 अक्टूबर 99% (99¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 दिसंबर 99% पर है।
आज तक, "क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" ने कुल $950.9K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Dec 12, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।
"क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 6 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
"क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "31 अक्टूबर" 99% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "31 दिसंबर" 99% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।
"क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।
हाँ। सूचित रहने के लिए आपको ट्रेड करने की ज़रूरत नहीं है। यह पेज "क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" के लिए लाइव ट्रैकर के रूप में काम करता है। नए ट्रेड आने पर परिणाम संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं। आप इस पेज को बुकमार्क कर सकते हैं और टिप्पणी अनुभाग में देख सकते हैं कि अन्य ट्रेडर क्या कह रहे हैं।
Polymarket की संभावनाएँ असली ट्रेडरों द्वारा अपने विश्वासों के पीछे असली पैसा लगाकर निर्धारित होती हैं, जो सटीक पूर्वानुमान सामने लाने की प्रवृत्ति रखती है। "क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" पर $950.9K ट्रेड होने के साथ, ये कीमतें हज़ारों प्रतिभागियों के सामूहिक ज्ञान और विश्वास को एकत्र करती हैं। उदाहरण के लिए, Polymarket का एक महीने का सटीकता स्कोर 94% है। Polymarket की पूर्वानुमान सटीकता पर नवीनतम आँकड़ों के लिए, सटीकता पेज Polymarket पर देखें।
"क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" पर अपना पहला ट्रेड करने के लिए, एक मुफ़्त Polymarket अकाउंट के लिए साइन अप करें और क्रिप्टो, क्रेडिट या डेबिट कार्ड, या बैंक ट्रांसफ़र से फ़ंड करें। एक बार आपका अकाउंट फ़ंडेड हो जाने पर, इस पेज पर वापस आएँ, जिस परिणाम पर आप ट्रेड करना चाहते हैं उसे चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
Polymarket पर, प्रत्येक परिणाम की कीमत बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। "क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" बाज़ार में "31 अक्टूबर" के लिए 99¢ की कीमत का मतलब है कि ट्रेडर सामूहिक रूप से मानते हैं कि "31 अक्टूबर" के सही परिणाम होने की लगभग 99% संभावना है। अगर आप 99¢ पर "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम सही है, तो आपको प्रति शेयर $1.00 मिलता है — प्रति शेयर 1¢ का लाभ।
"क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" बाज़ार Dec 31, 2026 को या उसके आसपास हल होने के लिए निर्धारित है। इसका मतलब है कि उस तिथि तक ट्रेडिंग खुली रहेगी और संभावनाएँ बदलती रहेंगी।
"क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" बाज़ार में 25 टिप्पणियों का एक सक्रिय समुदाय है जहाँ ट्रेडर अपना विश्लेषण साझा करते हैं, परिणामों पर बहस करते हैं, और ब्रेकिंग विकासों पर चर्चा करते हैं। अन्य प्रतिभागी क्या सोचते हैं पढ़ने के लिए नीचे टिप्पणी अनुभाग तक स्क्रॉल करें।
Polymarket दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है, जहाँ आप वास्तविक दुनिया की घटनाओं के अपने ज्ञान से सूचित रह सकते हैं और लाभ कमा सकते हैं। ट्रेडर राजनीति और चुनावों से लेकर क्रिप्टो, वित्त, खेल, तकनीक, और संस्कृति तक के विषयों पर परिणामों में शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं, जिसमें "क्या Apple... तक एक फोल्ड करने योग्य iPhone जारी करेगा?" जैसे बाज़ार शामिल हैं।
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