Apple's established annual release cadence, with new iPhone models typically announced each September, underpins the 100% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. Traders view the company's consistent hardware and software development cycles, supply chain planning, and lack of any announced delays or cancellations as decisive factors supporting this consensus. While severe regulatory interventions, major component shortages, or unforeseen technical hurdles could still shift timelines in theory, current verified patterns and industry reporting indicate such disruptions remain unlikely before the expected window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया>99% संभावना
$235,610 वॉल्यूम
$235,610 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
>99% संभावना
$235,610 वॉल्यूम
$235,610 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual release cadence, with new iPhone models typically announced each September, underpins the 100% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. Traders view the company's consistent hardware and software development cycles, supply chain planning, and lack of any announced delays or cancellations as decisive factors supporting this consensus. While severe regulatory interventions, major component shortages, or unforeseen technical hurdles could still shift timelines in theory, current verified patterns and industry reporting indicate such disruptions remain unlikely before the expected window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$235,610समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual release cadence, with new iPhone models typically announced each September, underpins the 100% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. Traders view the company's consistent hardware and software development cycles, supply chain planning, and lack of any announced delays or cancellations as decisive factors supporting this consensus. While severe regulatory interventions, major component shortages, or unforeseen technical hurdles could still shift timelines in theory, current verified patterns and industry reporting indicate such disruptions remain unlikely before the expected window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$235,610समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Apple's established annual release cadence, with new iPhone models typically announced each September, underpins the 100% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. Traders view the company's consistent hardware and software development cycles, supply chain planning, and lack of any announced delays or cancellations as decisive factors supporting this consensus. While severe regulatory interventions, major component shortages, or unforeseen technical hurdles could still shift timelines in theory, current verified patterns and industry reporting indicate such disruptions remain unlikely before the expected window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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